---
title: "Red Eclipse case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Red Eclipse ($6.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.02% from 127 items with odds, observed 82.82% over 489 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Red Eclipse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Red Eclipse

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 88.02% · EV $5.28 from 127 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.82% · 489 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 26 openings · below min

7 days · 81.67% ±15.82 375 openings

30 days · 82.82% ±13.87 489 openings

since tracking started · 82.82% ±13.87 489 openings

-0.5% 55.5% 111.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse?window=24h) | 26 | 50.67% ±60.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse?window=7d) | 375 | 81.67% ±15.8 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse) | 489 | 82.82% ±13.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/red-eclipse?window=all) | 489 | 82.82% ±13.9 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 127 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 489 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $293 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $191 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $140 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $98.80 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,613 | $83.14 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,235 | $64.55 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 1,075 | $55.85 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,064 | $55.52 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $45.18 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 855 | $44.45 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 840 | $43.69 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $43.64 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 806 | $41.78 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 794 | $41.23 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 763 | $39.85 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 763 | $39.64 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 741 | $38.76 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $34.50 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 658 | $34.24 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 629 | $32.75 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 472 | $24.56 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.93× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 465 | $24.25 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 431 | $22.44 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 405 | $21.08 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 405 | $21.02 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 392 | $20.45 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 366 | $19.07 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 362 | $18.87 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 344 | $17.88 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.11× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 334 | $17.35 | 1.0% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 331 | $17.23 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 330 | $17.20 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 325 | $16.91 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 323 | $16.77 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 318 | $16.55 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 1 in 279 | $14.49 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.71× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 276 | $14.36 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 272 | $14.17 | 1.0% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.23× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 268 | $13.94 | 1.0% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 252 | $13.09 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $11.74 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 216 | $11.26 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $10.91 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $10.83 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 202 | $10.53 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 196 | $10.21 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $10.04 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $9.88 | 1.0% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.94× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $9.63 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-well-worn) | 1 in 177 | $9.20 | 1.0% | 6 | 2.8 | 2.17× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 176 | $9.18 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $9.07 | 1.0% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 171 | $8.91 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 171 | $8.89 | 1.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $8.75 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $8.71 | 1.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-factory-new) | 1 in 162 | $8.43 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $8.42 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $8.28 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 156 | $8.12 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $8.07 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $7.90 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $7.88 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $7.75 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $7.52 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142 | $7.38 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 140 | $7.31 | 1.0% | 10 | 3.5 | 2.87× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $7.28 | 1.0% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.43× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-factory-new) | 1 in 138 | $7.16 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 137 | $7.14 | 1.0% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $6.95 | 1.0% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $6.92 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $6.89 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $6.84 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $6.82 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 124 | $6.44 | 1.0% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.52× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $6.35 | 1.0% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 118 | $6.16 | 1.0% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 116 | $6.03 | 1.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $5.91 | 1.0% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 113 | $5.88 | 1.0% | 8 | 4.3 | 1.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $5.26 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.32× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $4.85 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 206 | $4.78 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 205 | $4.76 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 204 | $4.73 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 202 | $4.68 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $4.64 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $4.54 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 195 | $4.52 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 193 | $4.46 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.58× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 182 | $4.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $4.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $4.11 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 174 | $4.03 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.42× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 174 | $4.02 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.42× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 172 | $4.00 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 171 | $3.96 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $3.91 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $3.86 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $3.84 | 0.4% | 8 | 3.0 | 2.71× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $3.38 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $3.28 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.45× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 138 | $3.19 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $2.84 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-minimal-wear) | 1 in 113 | $2.61 | 0.4% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $2.29 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $2.07 | 0.4% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $1.90 | 0.4% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $1.82 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $1.52 | 0.4% | 14 | 7.5 | 1.88× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $1.46 | 0.4% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.52× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $1.45 | 0.4% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $1.42 | 0.4% | 9 | 8.0 | 1.13× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $1.36 | 0.4% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $1.27 | 0.4% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.90× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.17 | 0.4% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.15 | 0.4% | 11 | 9.9 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $1.08 | 0.4% | 5 | 10.5 | 0.48× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $0.97 | 0.4% | 15 | 11.7 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $0.88 | 0.4% | 15 | 12.9 | 1.17× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.66 | 0.4% | 21 | 17.2 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.64 | 0.4% | 19 | 17.7 | 1.07× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.62 | 0.4% | 21 | 18.3 | 1.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.54 | 0.4% | 18 | 21.0 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $0.47 | 0.4% | 17 | 24.1 | 0.71× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.47 | 0.4% | 27 | 24.1 | 1.12× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/red-eclipse`, 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=red-eclipse)

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) [Tagervie](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Tagervie) $6.00 $6.82 1.14x 2026-11-10 22:06 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) [Dzony](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dzony) $6.00 $0.66 0.11x 2026-11-10 21:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) [Dzony](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dzony) $6.00 $0.64 0.11x 2026-11-10 21:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) [yeez](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/yeez) $6.00 $0.54 0.09x 2026-11-10 21:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) [Ediii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ediii) $6.00 $7.31 1.22x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) [User](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/User) $6.00 $1.52 0.25x 2026-11-10 20:43 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) [User](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/User) $6.00 $4.46 0.74x 2026-11-10 20:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) [Harry Kokesh](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Harry%20Kokesh) $6.00 $0.88 0.15x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) [Harry Kokesh](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Harry%20Kokesh) $6.00 $1.52 0.25x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) [M E E J A](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/M%20E%20E%20J%20A) $6.00 $0.54 0.09x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $6.00 | 88.02% | 127 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $6.00 | 88.23% | 127 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $6.00 | 87.96% | 127 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $6.00 | 88.02% | 127 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $6.00 | 87.99% | 127 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $6.00 | 88.06% | 127 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $6.00 | 88.01% | 127 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $6.00 | 88.01% | 127 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $6.00 | 87.99% | 127 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $6.00 | 88.03% | 127 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.8% 3 4.9% classified 14.9% Ancient 0.2% red 0.2% restricted 31.3% Legendary 3.5% Restricted 1.4% Classified 2.0% pink 5.3% Mythical 2.5% Mil Spec Grade 0.6% #8847ff 3.7% violet 8.0% #d32ee6 1.1% blue 0.7% milspec 12.2% mil spec 2.1% #4b69ff 3.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.02 on average: an expected loss of $11.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt