--- title: "Restricted case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Restricted ($10.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 68.80% over 1,089 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Restricted A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted?window=all) Price · $10.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 68.80% · 1,089 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 135 openings · below min 7 days · 879 openings · below min 30 days · 68.80% ±5.75 1,089 openings since tracking started · 68.80% ±5.75 1,089 openings 51.0% 69.8% 88.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted?window=24h) | 135 | 69.76% ±17.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted?window=7d) | 879 | 65.86% ±5.97 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted) | 1,089 | 68.80% ±5.75 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/restricted?window=all) | 1,089 | 68.80% ±5.75 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=restricted) [XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-well-worn) [Raitosaur](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Raitosaur) $2.50 $0.72 0.29x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [M249 | Nebula Crusader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-battle-scarred) [Meth Damon](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Meth%20Damon) $2.50 $1.30 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-phantom-well-worn) [udv](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/udv) $2.50 $1.14 0.46x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC [Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) [udv](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/udv) $2.50 $1.03 0.41x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-battle-scarred) [бојан](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%98%D0%B0%D0%BD) $2.50 $2.90 1.16x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wild-six-well-worn) [Personal](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Personal) $2.50 $0.88 0.35x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-well-worn) [Personal](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Personal) $2.50 $0.74 0.30x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-well-worn) [Personal](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Personal) $2.50 $0.51 0.20x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-battle-scarred) [Personal](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Personal) $2.50 $2.44 0.98x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) [Hozzie Blue](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hozzie%20Blue) $2.50 $1.28 0.51x 2026-11-11 10:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 68.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $68.80 on average: an expected loss of $31.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt