---
title: "Riptide Agents case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Riptide Agents ($45.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 21 items with odds, observed 102.85% over 17 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Riptide Agents](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Riptide Agents

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents?window=all)

Price · $45.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $39.60 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.85% · 17 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 16 openings · below min

30 days · 17 openings · below min

since tracking started · 17 openings · below min

79.0% 257.3% 435.5%

**Small sample.** 17 openings and 6.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents?window=24h) | 1 | 297.63% ±137.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents?window=7d) | 16 | 103.58% ±24.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents) | 17 | 102.85% ±23.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-agents?window=all) | 17 | 102.85% ±23.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Primeiro Tenente \| Brazilian 1st Battalion agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/primeiro-tenente-brazilian-1st-battalion) | 1 in 20 | $91.20 | 11.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [D Squadron Officer \| NZSAS agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/d-squadron-officer-nzsas) | 1 in 20 | $89.29 | 11.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Cmdr. Frank 'Wet Sox' Baroud \| SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-frank-wet-sox-baroud-seal-frogman) | 1 in 11 | $49.86 | 11.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [Vypa Sista of the Revolution \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/vypa-sista-of-the-revolution-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 11 | $47.43 | 11.3% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.49× |
| [Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez \| SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-davida-goggles-fernandez-seal-frogman) | 1 in 11 | $47.32 | 11.3% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× |
| [Trapper \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/trapper-guerrilla-warfare) | 10.9% | $41.20 | 11.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Bloody Darryl The Strapped \| The Professionals agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloody-darryl-the-strapped-the-professionals) | 10.9% | $41.00 | 11.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.62× |
| [Elite Trapper Solman \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/elite-trapper-solman-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 57 | $33.49 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Trapper Aggressor \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/trapper-aggressor-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 55 | $32.72 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Col. Mangos Dabisi \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/col-mangos-dabisi-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 51 | $30.43 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ['Medium Rare' Crasswater \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · Master](https://gambatracker.com/items/medium-rare-crasswater-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 50 | $29.33 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Jungle Rebel \| Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) | 1 in 44 | $25.78 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Chem-Haz Capitaine \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/chem-haz-capitaine-gendarmerie-nationale) | 1 in 43 | $25.12 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Chef d'Escadron Rouchard \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/chef-descadron-rouchard-gendarmerie-nationale) | 1 in 38 | $22.67 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Crasswater The Forgotten \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/crasswater-the-forgotten-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 38 | $22.62 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Lieutenant Rex Krikey \| SEAL Frogman agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/lieutenant-rex-krikey-seal-frogman) | 1 in 36 | $20.99 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Officer Jacques Beltram \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/officer-jacques-beltram-gendarmerie-nationale) | 1 in 32 | $18.64 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Arno The Overgrown \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/arno-the-overgrown-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 29 | $17.01 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Lieutenant 'Tree Hugger' Farlow \| SWAT agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/lieutenant-tree-hugger-farlow-swat) | 1 in 28 | $16.37 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sous-Lieutenant Medic \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/sous-lieutenant-medic-gendarmerie-nationale) | 1 in 21 | $12.22 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Aspirant \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/aspirant-gendarmerie-nationale) | 1 in 19 | $11.50 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/riptide-agents`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=riptide-agents)

[D Squadron Officer | NZSAS agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/d-squadron-officer-nzsas) [Malalagueule](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Malalagueule) $30.00 $89.29 2.98x 2026-11-11 08:57 UTC

[Vypa Sista of the Revolution | Guerrilla Warfare agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/vypa-sista-of-the-revolution-guerrilla-warfare) [Thumb guy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Thumb%20guy) $45.00 $47.64 1.06x 2026-11-10 05:18 UTC

[Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez | SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-davida-goggles-fernandez-seal-frogman) [Thumb guy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Thumb%20guy) $45.00 $47.32 1.05x 2026-11-10 05:17 UTC

[Vypa Sista of the Revolution | Guerrilla Warfare agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/vypa-sista-of-the-revolution-guerrilla-warfare) [Thumb guy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Thumb%20guy) $45.00 $47.64 1.06x 2026-11-10 05:17 UTC

[Vypa Sista of the Revolution | Guerrilla Warfare agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/vypa-sista-of-the-revolution-guerrilla-warfare) [Martinez Hoffmann](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Martinez%20Hoffmann) $45.00 $47.64 1.06x 2026-11-09 22:58 UTC

[Cmdr. Frank 'Wet Sox' Baroud | SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-frank-wet-sox-baroud-seal-frogman) [Martinez Hoffmann](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Martinez%20Hoffmann) $45.00 $47.91 1.06x 2026-11-09 22:58 UTC

[Primeiro Tenente | Brazilian 1st Battalion agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/primeiro-tenente-brazilian-1st-battalion) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $45.00 $91.20 2.03x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC

[Vypa Sista of the Revolution | Guerrilla Warfare agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/vypa-sista-of-the-revolution-guerrilla-warfare) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $45.00 $47.64 1.06x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC

[Bloody Darryl The Strapped | The Professionals agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloody-darryl-the-strapped-the-professionals) [krejzu7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krejzu7) $45.00 $41.31 0.92x 2026-11-07 22:01 UTC

[Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [RetroCent](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/RetroCent) $45.00 $26.22 0.58x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $45.00 | 88.00% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed distinguished 14.0% red 27.9% exceptional 19.3% superior 14.4% pink 6.9% violet 5.1% Master 2.0% master 5.2% blue 5.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt