---
title: "Riptide Tiger case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Riptide Tiger ($40.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.02% from 125 items with odds, observed 83.66% over 44 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Riptide Tiger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Riptide Tiger

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger?window=all)

Price · $40.00

Advertised RTP · 88.02% · EV $35.21 from 125 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.66% · 44 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 31 openings · below min

30 days · 44 openings · below min

since tracking started · 44 openings · below min

-0.5% 95.8% 192.0%

**Small sample.** 44 openings and 13.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger?window=24h) | 4 | 77.04% ±114.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger?window=7d) | 31 | 92.84% ±36.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger) | 44 | 83.66% ±30.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/riptide-tiger?window=all) | 44 | 83.66% ±30.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 125 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $763 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $540 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $470 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 3,704 | $463 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $444 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $414 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $402 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $389 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $363 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $361 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $358 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $350 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $343 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $324 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $303 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 2,439 | $297 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $292 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 2,381 | $290 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,326 | $288 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 2,326 | $285 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,273 | $279 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 2,273 | $277 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $274 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $273 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $253 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 2,041 | $249 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $243 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,961 | $242 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $235 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $232 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $213 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,724 | $209 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,724 | $208 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $199 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,587 | $196 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 1,562 | $191 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,408 | $174 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,408 | $173 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,370 | $168 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $164 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 1,333 | $164 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,299 | $159 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 1,282 | $157 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $153 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $153 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $153 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $151 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,220 | $149 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,220 | $149 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,205 | $148 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,190 | $145 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $142 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,149 | $142 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $140 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,149 | $140 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $135 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-well-worn) | 1 in 1,020 | $125 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $123 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $123 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 990 | $121 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 990 | $121 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $119 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 926 | $114 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-field-tested) | 1 in 926 | $113 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $113 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 917 | $112 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 909 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 909 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 901 | $111 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 877 | $107 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 781 | $95.68 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 769 | $94.47 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 763 | $93.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $87.67 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 694 | $84.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 671 | $81.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $81.41 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 654 | $80.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 654 | $79.96 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 621 | $75.78 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 568 | $69.71 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 562 | $68.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $67.94 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-well-worn) | 1 in 543 | $66.73 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 535 | $65.17 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 505 | $61.76 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 503 | $61.54 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $61.33 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $61.20 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-field-tested) | 1 in 483 | $59.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 459 | $55.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 457 | $55.81 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 448 | $55.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 429 | $52.46 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-well-worn) | 1 in 415 | $50.94 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 408 | $50.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 405 | $49.54 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 397 | $48.57 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 382 | $46.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 379 | $46.51 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 379 | $46.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 377 | $46.23 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 370 | $45.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 368 | $45.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 368 | $45.02 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 368 | $44.96 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 362 | $44.46 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 360 | $44.08 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 326 | $40.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $30.26 | 4.7% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.08× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $29.64 | 4.7% | 7 | 2.5 | 2.85× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $29.04 | 4.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $28.87 | 4.7% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $28.77 | 4.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $27.85 | 4.7% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $26.92 | 4.7% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $26.19 | 4.7% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $26.14 | 4.7% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $23.89 | 4.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $23.52 | 4.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $17.01 | 4.7% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.40× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 10.3% | $16.08 | 4.7% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/riptide-tiger`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=riptide-tiger)

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Dzony](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dzony) $40.00 $23.52 0.59x 2026-11-10 22:13 UTC

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) [𝕯𝖎𝖒𝖎](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%9D%95%AF%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%92%F0%9D%96%8E) $40.00 $30.26 0.76x 2026-11-10 20:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) [Flav'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Flav%26apos%3B) $40.00 $23.89 0.60x 2026-11-10 19:22 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [KAMISIMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KAMISIMA) $19.00 $29.42 1.55x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) [󠁳](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F3%A0%81%B3) $40.00 $23.89 0.60x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) [󠁳](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F3%A0%81%B3) $40.00 $17.01 0.43x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-well-worn) [B?OVO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/B%3FOVO) $40.00 $26.92 0.67x 2026-11-10 00:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) [0ctopo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/0ctopo) $40.00 $114 2.84x 2026-11-09 17:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) [Hypnos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hypnos) $40.00 $26.14 0.65x 2026-11-09 03:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-well-worn) [Hypnos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hypnos) $40.00 $26.92 0.67x 2026-11-09 03:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $40.00 | 88.02% | 125 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $40.00 | 88.02% | 125 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $40.00 | 87.98% | 125 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $40.00 | 87.99% | 125 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $40.00 | 87.99% | 125 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $40.00 | 87.99% | 125 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $40.00 | 88.00% | 125 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $40.00 | 87.99% | 125 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $40.00 | 87.92% | 125 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $40.00 | 88.01% | 125 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $40.00 | 88.01% | 125 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 47.9% covert 6.9% restricted 20.9% Legendary 0.1% Covert 0.2% #d32ee6 0.1% red 0.3% #eb4b4b 0.3% Ancient 0.1% violet 5.8% Classified 0.6% milspec 0.3% #d32ce6 6.3% mil spec 10.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.02 on average: an expected loss of $11.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt