--- title: "Serena case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Serena ($6.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 111.51% over 65 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Serena](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Serena A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena?window=all) Price · $6.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 111.51% · 65 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 9 openings · below min 7 days · 49 openings · below min 30 days · 65 openings · below min since tracking started · 65 openings · below min 43.0% 107.8% 172.5% **Small sample.** 65 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena?window=24h) | 9 | 74.57% ±24.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena?window=7d) | 49 | 84.67% ±40.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena) | 65 | 111.51% ±60.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/serena?window=all) | 65 | 111.51% ±60.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=serena) [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) [Roofies steal yo girl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Roofies%20steal%20yo%20girl) $6.00 $5.25 0.88x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [Roofies steal yo girl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Roofies%20steal%20yo%20girl) $6.00 $5.26 0.88x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) [Roofies steal yo girl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Roofies%20steal%20yo%20girl) $6.00 $9.49 1.58x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) [Roofies steal yo girl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Roofies%20steal%20yo%20girl) $6.00 $3.11 0.52x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) [Roofies steal yo girl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Roofies%20steal%20yo%20girl) $6.00 $3.72 0.62x 2026-11-11 21:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) [ADi2137 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ADi2137%20skins.army) $6.00 $2.36 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [ADi2137 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ADi2137%20skins.army) $6.00 $5.26 0.88x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) [Dexxtter11](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dexxtter11) $6.00 $2.66 0.44x 2026-11-11 06:49 UTC [USP-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-field-tested) [Dexxtter11](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dexxtter11) $6.00 $3.16 0.53x 2026-11-11 06:49 UTC [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-well-worn) [Ich mag Bier](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ich%20mag%20Bier) $6.00 $2.96 0.49x 2026-11-10 20:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 111.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $111.51 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt