--- title: "Shadow case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shadow ($1.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.76% over 5,618 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow rendered: 2026-11-11T12:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Shadow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Shadow A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow?window=all) Price · $1.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.76% · 5,618 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 614 openings · below min 7 days · 94.44% ±15.41 4,671 openings 30 days · 96.76% ±14.91 5,618 openings since tracking started · 96.76% ±14.91 5,618 openings 44.0% 129.0% 214.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow?window=24h) | 614 | 129.03% ±84.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow?window=7d) | 4,671 | 94.44% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow) | 5,618 | 96.76% ±14.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shadow?window=all) | 5,618 | 96.76% ±14.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) [TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT) $1.50 $378 252.3x 2026-11-11 01:16 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Kopara90](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Kopara90) $1.50 $280 186.6x 2026-11-03 10:18 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) [Volidisp](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Volidisp) $1.50 $164 109.3x 2026-11-10 03:08 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) [elmO ☆](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/elmO%20%E2%98%86) $1.50 $110 73.47x 2026-11-08 15:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) [Friendly Goose](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Friendly%20Goose) $1.50 $101 67.32x 2026-11-09 09:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-scorched-well-worn) [AliK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/AliK) $1.50 $97.16 64.77x 2026-11-10 01:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-scorched-well-worn) [Jahi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Jahi) $1.50 $97.16 64.77x 2026-11-09 15:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-well-worn) [Ckrakon](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ckrakon) $1.50 $94.67 63.11x 2026-11-04 02:42 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-well-worn) [Frade](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Frade) $1.50 $80.48 53.65x 2026-11-09 12:13 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) [Kosiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Kosiu) $1.50 $76.95 51.30x 2026-11-04 14:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=shadow) [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-battle-scarred) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $0.73 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $5.88 3.92x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-well-worn) [LUCKY LUCIANO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/LUCKY%20LUCIANO) $1.50 $0.32 0.21x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-well-worn) [LUCKY LUCIANO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/LUCKY%20LUCIANO) $1.50 $0.33 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-battle-scarred) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $0.24 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-scumbria-battle-scarred) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $0.34 0.23x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $1.01 0.67x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-field-tested) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $0.46 0.31x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) [CfifT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CfifT) $1.50 $0.45 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $1.50 $2.51 1.67x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $378 (252.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.76 on average: an expected loss of $3.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt