---
title: "Shiny Knives case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shiny Knives ($250.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.00% from 203 items with odds, observed 74.91% over 15 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Shiny Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Shiny Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives?window=all)

Price · $250.00

Advertised RTP · 86.00% · EV $215.00 from 203 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.91% · 15 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 13 openings · below min

30 days · 15 openings · below min

since tracking started · 15 openings · below min

28.5% 117.8% 207.0%

**Small sample.** 15 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives?window=24h) | 2 | 117.74% ±88.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives?window=7d) | 13 | 74.21% ±34.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives) | 15 | 74.91% ±32.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives?window=all) | 15 | 74.91% ±32.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 203 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,041 | $1,631 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $1,518 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $1,506 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $1,352 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,339 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,639 | $1,320 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $1,320 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $1,320 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,587 | $1,282 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,449 | $1,161 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,153 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $963 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $956 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $947 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,176 | $943 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,124 | $894 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,111 | $892 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,087 | $873 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,053 | $844 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $802 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 971 | $778 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 962 | $770 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 926 | $739 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $734 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $734 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $718 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 893 | $715 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 877 | $706 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $701 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $665 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 820 | $657 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 813 | $650 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 794 | $639 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 781 | $623 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $618 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $617 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 746 | $599 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $571 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 699 | $561 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 699 | $559 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 690 | $553 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 685 | $550 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 676 | $542 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $534 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 662 | $531 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 641 | $512 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 610 | $488 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 602 | $485 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 595 | $479 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 595 | $478 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 585 | $469 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 581 | $465 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 575 | $461 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 571 | $459 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 571 | $457 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 559 | $448 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 552 | $444 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 549 | $442 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 541 | $434 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 538 | $432 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 532 | $427 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $423 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 524 | $422 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 498 | $400 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 490 | $392 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $389 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 478 | $384 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $382 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 474 | $379 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 469 | $377 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 463 | $371 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 459 | $368 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 457 | $367 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 457 | $366 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 450 | $361 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 442 | $354 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 427 | $342 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 427 | $342 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 426 | $342 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 420 | $338 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 420 | $337 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $335 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 415 | $332 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 413 | $330 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 410 | $330 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 408 | $329 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 408 | $327 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 403 | $322 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 395 | $317 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 392 | $315 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 392 | $314 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 391 | $314 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 386 | $309 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 380 | $306 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 380 | $305 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 379 | $304 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 375 | $301 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 375 | $301 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 365 | $293 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 364 | $292 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 362 | $290 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 355 | $284 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 352 | $283 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 347 | $279 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $279 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 346 | $278 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 344 | $276 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 342 | $275 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 342 | $275 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 340 | $273 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 337 | $269 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 332 | $267 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 332 | $266 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 327 | $263 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 326 | $261 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 324 | $260 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 323 | $259 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 314 | $252 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 311 | $249 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 305 | $245 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 305 | $245 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 304 | $244 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 299 | $240 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $240 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 296 | $237 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 294 | $236 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 290 | $233 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 287 | $230 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 287 | $229 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $226 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $223 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 275 | $221 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 275 | $220 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 273 | $219 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $218 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 270 | $217 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 269 | $216 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $209 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $207 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $207 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $206 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $200 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $199 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $198 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $198 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $198 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 123 | $197 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $191 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $190 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $188 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $186 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $185 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 113 | $180 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $176 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $175 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $174 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $172 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $172 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $172 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $169 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $168 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $167 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $166 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $165 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $164 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $163 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $162 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $160 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $157 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 98 | $156 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 98 | $155 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 97 | $155 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $153 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $152 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $150 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $150 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $148 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $147 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $142 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $140 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $140 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $138 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $136 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $135 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $134 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $129 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $128 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $127 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $126 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $123 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $123 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $121 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $119 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $115 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $115 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $112 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $110 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $110 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $109 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $97.70 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $92.96 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $89.97 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $89.39 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/shinyknives`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=shinyknives)

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [dmy45](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/dmy45) $250 $448 1.79x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [dmy45](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/dmy45) $250 $140 0.56x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-fade-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $332 1.33x 2026-11-08 15:04 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $166 0.66x 2026-11-08 15:04 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $119 0.47x 2026-11-08 15:04 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $158 0.63x 2026-11-08 15:04 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $202 0.81x 2026-11-08 15:04 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $119 0.47x 2026-11-08 15:03 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-case-hardened-well-worn) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $167 0.67x 2026-11-08 15:03 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $250 $112 0.45x 2026-11-08 15:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $250 | 86.15% | 203 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $250 | 86.00% | 203 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 38.7% covert knife 43.0% gold 8.5% Immortal 4.5% rare 2.3% epic 0.9% sunny 1.0% #ffd700 1.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.00 on average: an expected loss of $14.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt