---
title: "Silent Nichirin case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Silent Nichirin ($65.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 125.47% over 34 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Silent Nichirin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Silent Nichirin

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin?window=all)

Price · $65.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 125.47% · 34 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 24 openings · below min

30 days · 34 openings · below min

since tracking started · 34 openings · below min

17.0% 114.5% 212.0%

**Small sample.** 34 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin?window=24h) | 1 | 81.29% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin?window=7d) | 24 | 114.32% ±96.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin) | 34 | 125.47% ±69.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/silent-nichirin?window=all) | 34 | 125.47% ±69.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-well-worn) [Russell Westbrook](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Russell%20Westbrook) $65.00 $799 12.29x 2026-11-06 05:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=silent-nichirin)

[Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) [ZoZ1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ZoZ1k) $65.00 $52.84 0.81x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $65.00 $26.75 0.41x 2026-11-09 23:03 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) [0ctopo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/0ctopo) $65.00 $32.03 0.49x 2026-11-09 17:53 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-well-worn) [0ctopo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/0ctopo) $65.00 $103 1.58x 2026-11-09 17:52 UTC

[P250 | Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) [have](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/have) $65.00 $43.12 0.66x 2026-11-08 11:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) [HOXBC](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/HOXBC) $65.00 $29.80 0.46x 2026-11-07 19:32 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) [HOXBC](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/HOXBC) $65.00 $44.92 0.69x 2026-11-07 19:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) [W E A C N](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/W%20E%20A%20C%20N) $65.00 $39.36 0.61x 2026-11-06 22:45 UTC

[P250 | Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $65.00 $26.63 0.41x 2026-11-06 20:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $65.00 $42.09 0.65x 2026-11-06 20:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $799 (12.29x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 125.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $125.47 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
