---
title: "Skeleton Knives case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Skeleton Knives ($450.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 120 items with odds, observed 93.83% over 4 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Skeleton Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Skeleton Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife?window=all)

Price · $450.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $396.00 from 120 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.83% · 4 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

47.5% 94.0% 140.5%

**Small sample.** 4 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife?window=7d) | 4 | 93.83% ±45.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife) | 4 | 93.83% ±45.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/skeleton-knife?window=all) | 4 | 93.83% ±45.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 120 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $1,432 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $845 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $807 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $775 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $765 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $645 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $607 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $605 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $594 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $584 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $581 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $538 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $522 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $519 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $518 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $518 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $504 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $488 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $488 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $461 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $456 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $452 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $435 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $412 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $408 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $402 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $398 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 410 | $389 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 410 | $389 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $388 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $380 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 394 | $375 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 389 | $370 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 347 | $330 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 341 | $325 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $317 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 330 | $314 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 325 | $309 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 321 | $305 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 318 | $303 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 306 | $291 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 302 | $287 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $284 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 298 | $283 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 296 | $281 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 292 | $277 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 292 | $277 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 291 | $277 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 290 | $276 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 288 | $274 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $272 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 287 | $272 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 280 | $266 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 272 | $258 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 271 | $257 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $257 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 269 | $255 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 265 | $252 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 264 | $250 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 264 | $250 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 258 | $246 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 257 | $244 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 253 | $240 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 249 | $237 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 249 | $237 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $235 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 246 | $234 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 244 | $232 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 237 | $225 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 234 | $222 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 231 | $219 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 221 | $210 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 220 | $209 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 220 | $209 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 219 | $208 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 216 | $206 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 211 | $201 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 210 | $199 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $199 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $198 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 206 | $195 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 201 | $191 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 199 | $189 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 198 | $188 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 198 | $188 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $184 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $183 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 189 | $180 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $179 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $178 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 184 | $175 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $174 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 179 | $170 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 176 | $168 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 176 | $167 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $167 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $166 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 174 | $165 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 174 | $165 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 170 | $162 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $161 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $158 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $157 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $156 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 162 | $154 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $153 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $153 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $153 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 158 | $151 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $149 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $147 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $147 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $145 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 153 | $145 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 151 | $144 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $143 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $141 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $140 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $140 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $137 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/skeleton-knife`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [Code: EXT (Free Cases + $$$)](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Code%3A%20EXT%20%28Free%20Cases%20%2B%20%24%24%24%29) $450 $810 1.80x 2026-11-08 06:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=skeleton-knife)

[★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) [B?OVO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/B%3FOVO) $450 $456 1.01x 2026-11-10 01:28 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) [!DANNCHE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/!DANNCHE) $450 $232 0.52x 2026-11-09 22:24 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [Code: EXT (Free Cases + $$$)](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Code%3A%20EXT%20%28Free%20Cases%20%2B%20%24%24%24%29) $450 $810 1.80x 2026-11-08 06:51 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) [Code: EXT (Free Cases + $$$)](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Code%3A%20EXT%20%28Free%20Cases%20%2B%20%24%24%24%29) $450 $191 0.42x 2026-11-08 06:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $450 | 87.92% | 120 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |
| 3 Nov, 05:35 UTC | $450 | 88.00% | 120 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 4.6% covert 17.2% covert knife 43.2% #EB4B4B 1.5% Covert 6.9% #ffd700 10.3% epic 7.0% Immortal 3.1% gold 5.4% rare 0.8% best hit $810 (1.80x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt