---
title: "Smak case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Smak ($6.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.94% from 177 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Smak](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Smak

A case on Hellcase (poland-cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak?window=all)

Price · $6.50

Advertised RTP · 87.94% · EV $5.72 from 177 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 177 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $463 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $414 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $362 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $315 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $293 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $292 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $289 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $278 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $275 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $259 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $246 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $245 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $237 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $235 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $229 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $229 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $223 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $222 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $218 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $215 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $212 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $208 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $199 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $193 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $193 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $192 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $184 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $181 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $175 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $171 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $169 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $166 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $165 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $161 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $156 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $154 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $152 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $142 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $127 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $122 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $119 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $118 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $115 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $109 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $108 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $108 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,545 | $103 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $97.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $95.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $90.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $88.44 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $86.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $86.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,704 | $83.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $83.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $81.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $79.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $78.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,448 | $76.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $74.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 3,226 | $72.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $70.81 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $66.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $66.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $64.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,857 | $63.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $63.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $63.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 2,778 | $62.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $62.49 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $61.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $61.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $60.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 2,632 | $58.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,439 | $55.52 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 2,326 | $53.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $49.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,041 | $46.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $45.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $44.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $44.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,961 | $44.63 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $44.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 1,923 | $44.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $43.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,887 | $42.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $42.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $41.43 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-well-worn) | 1 in 1,818 | $41.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,818 | $40.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 1,754 | $40.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $39.45 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 1,695 | $38.73 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,695 | $38.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,562 | $35.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,562 | $35.06 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 1,351 | $30.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,299 | $29.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,299 | $29.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-factory-new) | 1 in 1,266 | $28.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $26.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $25.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $24.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 943 | $21.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 935 | $21.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-field-tested) | 1 in 935 | $21.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 926 | $20.92 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-factory-new) | 1 in 806 | $18.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 794 | $17.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 752 | $17.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 746 | $16.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 719 | $16.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $16.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-well-worn) | 1 in 709 | $16.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-battle-scarred) | 1 in 671 | $15.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $15.08 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 662 | $14.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $14.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 658 | $14.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 654 | $14.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 649 | $14.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 641 | $14.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 625 | $14.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 617 | $13.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 610 | $13.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 606 | $13.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 602 | $13.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 575 | $13.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $11.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 1 in 495 | $11.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 452 | $10.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-factory-new) | 1 in 450 | $10.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 444 | $10.04 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 402 | $9.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $7.52 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 328 | $7.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 327 | $7.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-well-worn) | 1 in 324 | $7.31 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $7.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 299 | $6.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 261 | $5.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 258 | $5.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $5.32 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $5.12 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $5.03 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $4.68 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $4.39 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $4.25 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $4.08 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $3.58 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $3.52 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $3.43 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $3.42 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $3.37 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $3.36 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $3.29 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $3.28 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $3.17 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $3.11 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $3.00 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $2.89 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $2.84 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $2.55 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $2.52 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.50 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $2.36 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $2.29 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $1.87 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $1.85 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1.80 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.71 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $1.63 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.60 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.52 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/smak`, 10 Nov, 02:23 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=smak)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $6.50 | 87.94% | 177 |
| 8 Nov, 19:58 UTC | $6.50 | 87.97% | 177 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $6.50 | 88.02% | 177 |
| 6 Nov, 05:20 UTC | $6.50 | 88.05% | 177 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $6.50 | 88.01% | 177 |
| 3 Nov, 10:07 UTC | $6.50 | 88.02% | 177 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $6.50 | 88.02% | 177 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.5% covert 1.1% legendary 0.0% covert knife 0.2% epic 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.1% sunny 0.0% gold 0.0% Ancient 0.1% rare 0.2% classified 15.1% Legendary 0.4% Immortal 0.0% pink 11.8% restricted 44.9% #d32ee6 2.4% #8847ff 11.8% Mythical 11.0% violet 0.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.94 on average: an expected loss of $12.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt