---
title: "Solarburst case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Solarburst ($2.64) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.01% from 172 items with odds, observed 77.84% over 930 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Solarburst](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Solarburst

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst?window=all)

Price · $2.64

Advertised RTP · 88.01% · EV $2.32 from 172 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.84% · 930 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.84% ±15.99 930 openings

7 days · 77.84% ±15.99 930 openings

30 days · 77.84% ±15.99 930 openings

since tracking started · 77.84% ±15.99 930 openings

61.0% 77.8% 94.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst?window=24h) | 930 | 77.84% ±16.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst?window=7d) | 930 | 77.84% ±16.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst) | 930 | 77.84% ±16.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/solarburst?window=all) | 930 | 77.84% ±16.0 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 172 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,553 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $198 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $192 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $167 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $151 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $150 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $142 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $140 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $135 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $133 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 16,667 | $132 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $131 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $131 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $129 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $129 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $127 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $124 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $123 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12,500 | $112 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $92.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $91.25 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $89.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $85.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $81.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $80.52 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $79.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $79.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $78.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $68.06 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $47.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $47.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $42.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $41.80 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $40.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $40.20 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $39.73 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $38.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $38.40 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $38.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $38.05 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $37.52 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,167 | $36.80 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 4,167 | $36.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $33.76 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 3,704 | $31.76 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $30.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $30.49 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,448 | $29.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $27.24 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 1 in 3,030 | $26.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $25.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $25.64 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $25.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $25.42 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 2,941 | $25.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 2,778 | $23.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $23.51 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $23.35 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,632 | $22.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $22.60 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-well-worn) | 1 in 2,632 | $22.59 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,632 | $22.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,632 | $22.42 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-well-worn) | 1 in 2,564 | $21.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $21.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $20.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $20.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 2,326 | $20.01 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 2,222 | $19.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,174 | $18.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 2,174 | $18.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 2,174 | $18.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,083 | $17.93 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $14.24 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,613 | $13.80 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,587 | $13.61 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $13.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 1,493 | $12.90 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,408 | $12.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 1,408 | $12.06 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,389 | $11.95 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $11.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,333 | $11.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $11.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 1,316 | $11.28 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,316 | $11.26 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.54× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,282 | $11.05 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,190 | $10.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 1,149 | $9.83 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $9.45 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $9.14 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $9.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 1,020 | $8.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $8.58 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 962 | $8.27 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $7.89 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $7.88 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $7.83 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 840 | $7.23 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $7.13 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 813 | $7.03 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 813 | $7.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 794 | $6.81 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 787 | $6.75 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.03× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 775 | $6.64 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 763 | $6.59 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 741 | $6.38 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-field-tested) | 1 in 709 | $6.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 680 | $5.82 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 680 | $5.82 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) | 1 in 625 | $5.36 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 592 | $5.07 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 588 | $5.06 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 1 in 581 | $4.99 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $4.96 | 0.4% | 9 | 2.7 | 3.33× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 575 | $4.93 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 571 | $4.91 | 0.4% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 562 | $4.83 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 559 | $4.82 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $4.78 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $4.78 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.79× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 505 | $4.33 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 495 | $4.25 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 493 | $4.22 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.59× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 488 | $4.19 | 0.4% | 8 | 3.2 | 2.51× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 483 | $4.15 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 478 | $4.10 | 0.4% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 463 | $3.98 | 0.4% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 463 | $3.96 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 441 | $3.78 | 0.4% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.70× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 429 | $3.67 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 407 | $3.50 | 0.4% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.83× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 388 | $3.33 | 0.4% | 9 | 4.0 | 2.25× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 370 | $3.18 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 344 | $2.95 | 0.4% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.55× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 331 | $2.84 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 312 | $2.68 | 0.4% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 311 | $2.66 | 0.4% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 1 in 297 | $2.55 | 0.4% | 10 | 5.2 | 1.91× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 296 | $2.54 | 0.4% | 16 | 5.2 | 3.05× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 294 | $2.52 | 0.4% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.33× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $2.50 | 0.4% | 9 | 5.3 | 1.69× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 287 | $2.46 | 0.4% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.66× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $2.45 | 0.4% | 14 | 5.4 | 2.58× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $2.45 | 0.4% | 9 | 5.5 | 1.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 283 | $2.43 | 0.4% | 11 | 5.5 | 2.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $2.42 | 0.4% | 11 | 5.5 | 2.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 275 | $2.36 | 0.4% | 10 | 5.7 | 1.77× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 275 | $2.36 | 0.4% | 16 | 5.6 | 2.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $2.20 | 2.1% | 27 | 34.5 | 0.78× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $2.13 | 2.1% | 30 | 35.6 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $2.12 | 2.1% | 42 | 35.8 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $2.08 | 2.1% | 27 | 36.5 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $2.08 | 2.1% | 30 | 36.5 | 0.82× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $1.82 | 2.1% | 33 | 41.7 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $1.82 | 2.1% | 45 | 41.7 | 1.08× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $1.64 | 2.1% | 32 | 46.3 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $1.45 | 2.1% | 38 | 52.4 | 0.73× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $1.33 | 2.1% | 46 | 57.1 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $1.20 | 2.1% | 63 | 63.3 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.14 | 2.1% | 72 | 66.6 | 1.08× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.13 | 2.1% | 67 | 67.2 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $1.04 | 2.1% | 79 | 73.0 | 1.08× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.96 | 2.1% | 69 | 79.1 | 0.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.91 | 2.1% | 95 | 83.4 | 1.14× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.89 | 2.1% | 71 | 85.3 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.86 | 2.1% | 83 | 88.3 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.79 | 2.1% | 86 | 96.1 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.78 | 2.1% | 106 | 97.3 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.76 | 2.1% | 90 | 99.9 | 0.90× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/solarburst`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [CAN POLAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CAN%20POLAT) $2.64 $140 53.09x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [JustNao](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/JustNao) $2.64 $135 51.17x 2026-11-10 20:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=solarburst)

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) [amonchan100](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/amonchan100) $2.64 $2.54 0.96x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) [amonchan100](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/amonchan100) $2.64 $0.96 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) [amonchan100](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/amonchan100) $2.64 $0.86 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) [Ediii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ediii) $2.64 $1.64 0.62x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) [Puffff](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Puffff) $2.64 $0.86 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) [Puffff](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Puffff) $2.64 $0.96 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) [Puffff](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Puffff) $2.64 $0.96 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [Puffff](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Puffff) $2.64 $0.91 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-battle-scarred) [Puffff](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Puffff) $2.64 $22.42 8.49x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [TechN9ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TechN9ne) $2.64 $1.82 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $2.64 | 88.01% | 172 |
| 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $2.64 | 88.03% | 172 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% classified 3.1% Ancient 0.0% Covert 0.0% red 0.1% restricted 46.5% pink 0.8% #d32ee6 0.3% mil spec 2.7% Legendary 3.0% Rare 0.9% milspec 0.9% Mythical 25.1% #d32ce6 0.1% #8847ff 5.6% violet 5.4% Restricted 3.0% blue 2.3% best hit $140 (53.09x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.01 on average: an expected loss of $11.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt