--- title: "Source case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Source ($0.75) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 61.08% over 270 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source rendered: 2026-11-11T22:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Source](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Source A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source?window=all) Price · $0.75 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 61.08% · 270 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 185 openings · below min 30 days · 270 openings · below min since tracking started · 270 openings · below min 16.5% 51.7% 87.0% **Small sample.** 270 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source?window=24h) | 14 | 26.19% ±8.91 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source?window=7d) | 185 | 62.73% ±23.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source) | 270 | 61.08% ±17.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/source?window=all) | 270 | 61.08% ±17.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=source) [P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-battle-scarred) [Yanass](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Yanass) $0.75 $0.12 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC [P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-well-worn) Hidden $0.75 $0.10 0.13x 2026-11-11 17:28 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) [Jvc](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Jvc) $0.75 $0.37 0.49x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-minimal-wear) [User](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/User) $0.75 $0.21 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-minimal-wear) [LAPE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/LAPE) $0.75 $0.23 0.31x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Winterized (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-winterized-battle-scarred) [LAPE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/LAPE) $0.75 $0.17 0.23x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC [StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-necro-jr-minimal-wear) [Number One](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Number%20One) $0.75 $0.18 0.24x 2026-11-11 07:57 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) [Number One](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Number%20One) $0.75 $0.28 0.37x 2026-11-11 07:56 UTC [MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-well-worn) [Number One](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Number%20One) $0.75 $0.09 0.12x 2026-11-11 07:55 UTC [P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-well-worn) [Rat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rat) $0.75 $0.10 0.13x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.08 on average: an expected loss of $38.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt