--- title: "Special case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Special ($35.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.12% over 31 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special rendered: 2026-11-13T03:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Special](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Special A case on Hellcase, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special?window=all) Price · $35.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.12% · 31 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 21 openings · below min 30 days · 31 openings · below min since tracking started · 31 openings · below min 54.0% 103.8% 153.5% **Small sample.** 31 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special?window=24h) | 2 | 109.89% ±43.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special?window=7d) | 21 | 76.79% ±22.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special) | 31 | 76.12% ±17.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/special?window=all) | 31 | 76.12% ±17.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=special) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) [gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/gg) $35.00 $30.78 0.88x 2026-11-13 01:12 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) [gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/gg) $35.00 $46.14 1.32x 2026-11-13 01:12 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $35.00 $42.22 1.21x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $35.00 $17.29 0.49x 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) [Arcziii33](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Arcziii33) $35.00 $17.71 0.51x 2026-11-10 18:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) [Arcziii33](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Arcziii33) $35.00 $15.74 0.45x 2026-11-10 18:09 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) [Nibbson](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nibbson) $35.00 $41.81 1.19x 2026-11-10 11:21 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $35.00 $5.27 0.15x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) [J Lokes](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/J%20Lokes) $35.00 $6.07 0.17x 2026-11-09 01:43 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) [Diamond](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Diamond) $35.00 $65.13 1.86x 2026-11-08 20:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.12 on average: an expected loss of $23.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt