--- title: "Thaelis case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Thaelis ($2.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.84% over 491 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis rendered: 2026-11-12T08:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Thaelis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Thaelis A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.84% · 491 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 70 openings · below min 7 days · 361 openings · below min 30 days · 491 openings · below min since tracking started · 491 openings · below min 56.0% 81.8% 107.5% **Small sample.** 491 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis?window=24h) | 70 | 71.41% ±14.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis?window=7d) | 361 | 73.35% ±10.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis) | 491 | 87.84% ±19.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thaelis?window=all) | 491 | 87.84% ±19.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=thaelis) [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $0.79 0.40x 2026-11-12 06:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.00 $1.19 0.60x 2026-11-12 05:51 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $0.79 0.40x 2026-11-12 05:51 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $0.83 0.42x 2026-11-12 05:51 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.00 $1.40 0.70x 2026-11-12 05:50 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $1.20 0.60x 2026-11-12 05:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $1.52 0.76x 2026-11-12 05:50 UTC [Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.00 $1.23 0.62x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 $0.83 0.42x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [AWP | PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 $8.26 4.13x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.84 on average: an expected loss of $12.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt