---
title: "Thunderer case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Thunderer ($95.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 112.82% over 32 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer
rendered: 2026-11-12T22:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Thunderer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Thunderer

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer?window=all)

Price · $95.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 112.82% · 32 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 28 openings · below min

30 days · 32 openings · below min

since tracking started · 32 openings · below min

-0.5% 154.3% 309.0%

**Small sample.** 32 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer?window=24h) | 2 | 139.88% ±168.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer?window=7d) | 28 | 118.27% ±41.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer) | 32 | 112.82% ±38.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/thunderer?window=all) | 32 | 112.82% ±38.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=thunderer)

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) [Jupiter, Expert sécurité](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Jupiter%2C%20Expert%20s%C3%A9curit%C3%A9) $30.00 $16.20 0.54x 2026-11-12 19:23 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [luhtomtom](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/luhtomtom) $30.00 $67.73 2.26x 2026-11-12 03:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [Aștar Șeran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%C8%99tar%20%C8%98eran) $95.00 $122 1.28x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) [007](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/007) $30.00 $44.52 1.48x 2026-11-11 07:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/shubidibap) $66.00 $143 2.17x 2026-11-11 03:16 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [bongomurzynkongo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bongomurzynkongo) $30.00 $88.19 2.94x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [OP Xtray61](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/OP%20Xtray61) $30.00 $29.42 0.98x 2026-11-11 02:18 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) [Hadi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hadi) $66.00 $12.49 0.19x 2026-11-11 01:15 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [Hadi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hadi) $66.00 $84.88 1.29x 2026-11-11 00:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) [𓂀 𝕫𝕖𝕟 𓂀](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%93%82%80%20%F0%9D%95%AB%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9F%20%F0%93%82%80) $95.00 $22.09 0.23x 2026-11-10 15:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 112.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $112.82 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
