---
title: "Tiger Tooth Family case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tiger Tooth Family ($270.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.00% from 52 items with odds, observed 69.14% over 29 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Tiger Tooth Family](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Tiger Tooth Family

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family?window=all)

Price · $270.00

Advertised RTP · 85.00% · EV $229.49 from 52 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 69.14% · 29 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 23 openings · below min

30 days · 29 openings · below min

since tracking started · 29 openings · below min

-0.5% 71.8% 144.0%

**Small sample.** 29 openings and 6.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family?window=24h) | 4 | 65.59% ±78.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family?window=7d) | 23 | 68.12% ±33.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family) | 29 | 69.14% ±30.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/tiger-tooth-family?window=all) | 29 | 69.14% ±30.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 351 | $1,524 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 342 | $1,489 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 322 | $1,396 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 302 | $1,313 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 296 | $1,286 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 274 | $1,188 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 240 | $1,044 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $860 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $804 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $682 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $682 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $680 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $614 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $521 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $432 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $422 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $388 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $384 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $363 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $361 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $339 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $338 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $309 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $295 | 1.9% | 4 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $289 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $274 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $274 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $266 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $227 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $214 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $212 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $209 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $209 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $202 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $200 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $189 | 2.0% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $184 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $181 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $179 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $174 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $171 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $141 | 2.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $135 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $126 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $122 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $121 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $115 | 2.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.65× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $111 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $108 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.66× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $94.60 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $87.64 | 2.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $85.36 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/tiger-tooth-family`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=tiger-tooth-family)

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [KW1AT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KW1AT) $270 $122 0.45x 2026-11-11 01:52 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [KW1AT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KW1AT) $270 $289 1.07x 2026-11-11 01:52 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [KiryuSenpai](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KiryuSenpai) $270 $108 0.40x 2026-11-10 20:33 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Rip](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rip) $270 $189 0.70x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [† ٢Є×ρΰLيσ٦ †](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%80%A0%20%D9%A2%D0%84%C3%97%CF%81%CE%B0L%D9%8A%CF%83%D9%A6%20%E2%80%A0) $270 $87.64 0.32x 2026-11-10 11:24 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [König Pilsener](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/K%C3%B6nig%20Pilsener) $270 $108 0.40x 2026-11-09 20:03 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𓂀 𝕫𝕖𝕟 𓂀](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%93%82%80%20%F0%9D%95%AB%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9F%20%F0%93%82%80) $95.00 $87.64 0.92x 2026-11-09 14:08 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $270 $126 0.47x 2026-11-09 08:50 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $270 $121 0.45x 2026-11-09 08:50 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $270 $295 1.09x 2026-11-09 08:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $270 | 84.92% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 16.1% covert 82.6% epic 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.00 on average: an expected loss of $15.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt