--- title: "Weapon 3 case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Weapon 3 ($6.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.73% over 54 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Weapon 3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Weapon 3 A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3?window=all) Price · $6.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.73% · 54 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 45 openings · below min 30 days · 54 openings · below min since tracking started · 54 openings · below min 44.0% 83.5% 123.0% **Small sample.** 54 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3?window=24h) | 4 | 60.38% ±15.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3?window=7d) | 45 | 91.21% ±28.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3) | 54 | 94.73% ±27.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/weapon-3?window=all) | 54 | 94.73% ±27.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=weapon-3) [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-well-worn) [Gn0x](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Gn0x) $6.00 $3.04 0.51x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-well-worn) [Gn0x](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Gn0x) $6.00 $3.63 0.61x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC [P2000 | Red FragCam (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-well-worn) [Gn0x](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Gn0x) $6.00 $4.96 0.83x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) [Manuel Raymond](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Manuel%20Raymond) $6.00 $2.86 0.48x 2026-11-11 04:21 UTC [Dual Berettas | Panther (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-minimal-wear) [Кибитка 2х2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%9A%D0%B8%D0%B1%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%BA%D0%B0%202%D1%852) $6.00 $4.94 0.82x 2026-11-10 20:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-battle-scarred) [Кибитка 2х2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%9A%D0%B8%D0%B1%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%BA%D0%B0%202%D1%852) $6.00 $3.59 0.60x 2026-11-10 20:59 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-well-worn) [Кибитка 2х2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%9A%D0%B8%D0%B1%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%BA%D0%B0%202%D1%852) $6.00 $3.04 0.51x 2026-11-10 20:59 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [RED JOHN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/RED%20JOHN) $6.00 $5.30 0.88x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-well-worn) [Suavemente](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Suavemente) $6.00 $3.04 0.51x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC [Dual Berettas | Panther (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-battle-scarred) [babtunde1gang](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/babtunde1gang) $6.00 $3.67 0.61x 2026-11-10 17:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.73 on average: an expected loss of $5.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt