--- title: "Wildfire case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wildfire ($3.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.51% over 220 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire rendered: 2026-11-12T00:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Wildfire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Wildfire A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire?window=all) Price · $3.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.51% · 220 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 11 openings · below min 7 days · 182 openings · below min 30 days · 220 openings · below min since tracking started · 220 openings · below min 22.0% 104.8% 187.5% **Small sample.** 220 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire?window=24h) | 11 | 37.36% ±14.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire?window=7d) | 182 | 119.25% ±67.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire) | 220 | 104.51% ±56.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/wildfire?window=all) | 220 | 104.51% ±56.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [CİHAT SARSILMAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/C%C4%B0HAT%20SARSILMAZ) $3.00 $163 54.43x 2026-11-10 21:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=wildfire) [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-battle-scarred) [minipek](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/minipek) $3.00 $0.74 0.25x 2026-11-11 23:26 UTC [USP-S | Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) [CZAPSKY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CZAPSKY) $3.00 $2.55 0.85x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-necropos-well-worn) [CZAPSKY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CZAPSKY) $3.00 $0.68 0.23x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP7 | Impire (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-field-tested) [weY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/weY) $3.00 $2.53 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-cartel-battle-scarred) [CİHAT SARSILMAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/C%C4%B0HAT%20SARSILMAZ) $3.00 $0.74 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Necropos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) [CİHAT SARSILMAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/C%C4%B0HAT%20SARSILMAZ) $3.00 $0.53 0.18x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-necropos-well-worn) [CİHAT SARSILMAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/C%C4%B0HAT%20SARSILMAZ) $3.00 $0.68 0.23x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-battle-scarred) [weY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/weY) $3.00 $0.74 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC [USP-S | Lead Conduit (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-well-worn) [p21k777](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/p21k777) $3.00 $1.04 0.35x 2026-11-11 14:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) [p21k777](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/p21k777) $3.00 $1.57 0.52x 2026-11-11 14:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $163 (54.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.51 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt