--- title: "Winter Offensive case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Winter Offensive ($8.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.92% over 32 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive rendered: 2026-11-13T05:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Winter Offensive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Winter Offensive A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive?window=all) Price · $8.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.92% · 32 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 21 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min 14.0% 91.8% 169.5% **Small sample.** 32 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive?window=24h) | 3 | 21.33% ±6.61 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive?window=7d) | 21 | 93.40% ±75.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive) | 32 | 85.92% ±52.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/winter-offensive?window=all) | 32 | 85.92% ±52.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=winter-offensive) [M249 | Magma (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-well-worn) [Cap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Cap) $8.50 $2.10 0.25x 2026-11-12 18:30 UTC [M249 | Magma (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-well-worn) [البندق](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%AF%D9%82) $8.50 $2.10 0.25x 2026-11-12 18:30 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-magma-field-tested) [600kg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/600kg) $8.50 $1.24 0.15x 2026-11-12 06:26 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-rising-skull-minimal-wear) [payaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/payaa) $8.50 $12.58 1.48x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) [Fiodorek](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Fiodorek) $8.50 $17.29 2.03x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-marina-factory-new) [Storm](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Storm) $8.50 $69.49 8.18x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [M249 | Magma (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-factory-new) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $8.50 $2.42 0.28x 2026-11-09 23:27 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $8.50 $11.93 1.40x 2026-11-09 23:27 UTC [PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-minimal-wear) [s1mpohl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/s1mpohl) $8.50 $1.53 0.18x 2026-11-08 23:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-field-tested) [s1mpohl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/s1mpohl) $8.50 $2.88 0.34x 2026-11-08 23:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.92 on average: an expected loss of $14.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt