---
title: "The Hedgehog case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Hedgehog ($26.99) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.28% from 59 items with odds, observed 87.41% over 8,129 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [The Hedgehog](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · The Hedgehog

A case on Hotpizza.gg (Premium cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115?window=all)

Price · $26.99 · 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 92.28% · EV $24.91 from 59 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.41% · 8,129 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.03% ±16.32 940 openings

7 days · 86.95% ±6.06 6,855 openings

30 days · 87.41% ±5.57 8,129 openings

since tracking started · 87.41% ±5.57 8,129 openings

75.0% 92.0% 109.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115?window=24h) | 940 | 92.03% ±16.3 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115?window=7d) | 6,855 | 86.95% ±6.06 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) | 8,129 | 87.41% ±5.57 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115?window=all) | 8,129 | 87.41% ±5.57 | −1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,146 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,193 1,193 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.8% | 3 | 8.1 | 0.37× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.5% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $834 834 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $648 648 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.6% | 1 | 8.1 | 0.12× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $411 411 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $376 376 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.10× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $366 366 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.9% | 13 | 16.3 | 0.80× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $313 313 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.5% | 14 | 16.3 | 0.86× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $230 230 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 14 | 16.3 | 0.86× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $177 177 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 9 | 24.4 | 0.37× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $137 137 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 11 | 24.4 | 0.45× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $129 129 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 20 | 24.4 | 0.82× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $115 115 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 28 | 24.4 | 1.15× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $107 107 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 24 | 24.4 | 0.98× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $77.66 77.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.9% | 33 | 24.4 | 1.35× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $71.22 71.22 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 40 | 40.7 | 0.98× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $64.21 64.21 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 50 | 57.0 | 0.88× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $63.34 63.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.5% | 75 | 81.5 | 0.92× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $41.42 41.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 71 | 81.5 | 0.87× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $39.18 39.18 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 78 | 81.5 | 0.96× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $38.70 38.7 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 73 | 81.5 | 0.90× |
| [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $37.04 37.04 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 83 | 81.5 | 1.02× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $36.07 36.07 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 83 | 81.5 | 1.02× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $32.72 32.72 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 96 | 89.6 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $30.76 30.76 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 68 | 81.5 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $28.15 28.15 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 82 | 89.6 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Nemesis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-nemesis-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $27.73 27.73 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 95 | 97.8 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $26.86 26.86 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 99 | 97.8 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $26.42 26.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 91 | 97.8 | 0.93× |
| [Souvenir MP7 \| Fade (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $26.16 26.16 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 100 | 97.8 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $25.44 25.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 98 | 105.9 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $24.92 24.92 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 110 | 105.9 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $24.35 24.35 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 109 | 114.0 | 0.96× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $23.21 23.21 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 109 | 122.2 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $22.15 22.15 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 138 | 146.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $21.91 21.91 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 159 | 162.9 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $21.76 21.76 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 42 | 162.9 | 0.26× |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Hellish (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-hellish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $21.00 21 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 140 | 162.9 | 0.86× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $20.98 20.98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 155 | 162.9 | 0.95× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $19.85 19.85 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 180 | 162.9 | 1.10× |
| [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $19.36 19.36 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 185 | 162.9 | 1.14× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $18.11 18.11 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 263 | 244.4 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $17.50 17.5 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 246 | 244.4 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $16.10 16.1 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 77 | 244.4 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $15.10 15.1 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 225 | 244.4 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $13.22 13.22 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 245 | 244.4 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $12.16 12.16 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 231 | 244.4 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $11.56 11.56 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 305 | 285.1 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $11.34 11.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 357 | 325.8 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $10.76 10.76 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 418 | 407.3 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $10.04 10.04 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 320 | 325.8 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $9.36 9.36 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 336 | 325.8 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $8.59 8.59 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 327 | 325.8 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $7.21 7.21 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 307 | 325.8 | 0.94× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $6.95 6.95 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 122 | 325.8 | 0.37× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $5.44 5.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 245 | 244.4 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $5.34 5.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.6% | 249 | 244.4 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $4.36 4.36 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 276 | 244.4 | 1.13× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $3.73 3.73 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.4% | 256 | 244.4 | 1.05× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) [August 47](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/August%2047) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,193 1,193 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 44.20x 2026-11-08 17:36 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) [jambajukes](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/jambajukes) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,193 1,193 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 44.20x 2026-11-07 19:14 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) [63rd Pluto](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/63rd%20Pluto) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,193 1,193 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 44.20x 2026-11-03 05:19 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [kdslater10](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/kdslater10) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-10 19:21 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [#rustysaloon-#rustchance.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%23rustysaloon-%23rustchance.com) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [Jazzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Jazzy) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-08 10:39 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [Ke$ha](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Ke%24ha) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-07 12:50 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [brohden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/brohden) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-05 14:29 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [Mapxy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Mapxy) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-05 13:01 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) [m3mzh](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/m3mzh) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,121 1,121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 41.54x 2026-11-04 22:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=115)

[Glock-18 | AXIA (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-well-worn) [AYO v3 wlvs](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AYO%20v3%20wlvs) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $22.15 22.15 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) [AYO v3 wlvs](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AYO%20v3%20wlvs) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $11.34 11.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) [HOOOODINI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/HOOOODINI) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.50 17.5 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-well-worn) [ake eilish](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/ake%20eilish) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $5.34 5.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) [забивной кириешеk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%B1%D0%B8%D0%B2%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%BA%D0%B8%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B5%D1%88%D0%B5k) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $11.56 11.56 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-minimal-wear) [BROZZZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/BROZZZ) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $38.70 38.7 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.43x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) [BROZZZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/BROZZZ) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $64.21 64.21 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.38x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-well-worn) [BROZZZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/BROZZZ) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $4.36 4.36 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) [216578916](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/216578916) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $15.10 15.1 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) [216578916](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/216578916) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $5.44 5.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 16:33 UTC | $26.99 | 92.28% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $26.99 | 92.22% | 59 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 8.7% sunny 0.1% Immortal 1.3% rare 8.0% mil spec 6.3% pink 9.3% classified 26.5% Ancient 1.2% Restricted 2.6% #8847ff 4.5% restricted 5.5% Legendary 5.0% blue 3.0% Mythical 3.0% industrial 7.0% milspec 5.0% Classified 3.0% best hit $1,193 (44.20x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.28 on average: an expected loss of $7.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt