---
title: "Bully Annie case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bully Annie ($66.66) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.25% from 56 items with odds, observed 80.42% over 6,670 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [Bully Annie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · Bully Annie

A case on Hotpizza.gg (BACK2SCHOOL), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116?window=all)

Price · $66.66 · 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 86.25% · EV $57.50 from 56 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.42% · 6,670 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 80.67% ±10.44 755 openings

7 days · 80.39% ±3.85 5,542 openings

30 days · 80.42% ±3.51 6,670 openings

since tracking started · 80.42% ±3.51 6,670 openings

69.5% 80.8% 92.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 86.32% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (76.91% – 83.93%, 6,670 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116?window=24h) | 755 | 80.67% ±10.4 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116?window=7d) | 5,542 | 80.39% ±3.85 | −3.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116) | 6,670 | 80.42% ±3.51 | −3.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/116?window=all) | 6,670 | 80.42% ±3.51 | −3.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,682 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.05× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $951 951 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 10 | 13.4 | 0.75× |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $769 769 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 9 | 13.4 | 0.67× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $694 694 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.6% | 8 | 20.0 | 0.40× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $551 551 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.8% | 18 | 26.7 | 0.67× |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $451 451 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.9% | 29 | 33.4 | 0.87× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $394 394 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.4% | 33 | 33.4 | 0.99× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $380 380 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 33 | 33.4 | 0.99× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $347 347 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.0% | 22 | 33.4 | 0.66× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $230 230 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.8% | 37 | 46.8 | 0.79× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $213 213 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.0% | 62 | 53.5 | 1.16× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $141 141 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 57 | 60.1 | 0.95× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 111 | $128 128 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 65 | 60.1 | 1.08× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 66 | 66.8 | 0.99× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $107 107 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 27 | 66.8 | 0.40× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $94.09 94.09 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 51 | 66.8 | 0.76× |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $89.52 89.52 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.1% | 110 | 133.6 | 0.82× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $86.39 86.39 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.0% | 122 | 133.6 | 0.91× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $79.78 79.78 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.8% | 128 | 133.6 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $79.04 79.04 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 120 | 133.6 | 0.90× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $68.34 68.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 151 | 133.6 | 1.13× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $64.26 64.26 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 122 | 133.6 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $62.00 62 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 130 | 133.6 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $60.59 60.59 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 135 | 133.6 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $57.43 57.43 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 128 | 133.6 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $57.32 57.32 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 124 | 133.6 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $53.94 53.94 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 154 | 133.6 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $52.88 52.88 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 162 | 133.6 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $50.41 50.41 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 138 | 133.6 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $49.72 49.72 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 34 | 133.6 | 0.25× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $46.32 46.32 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 135 | 133.6 | 1.01× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $45.37 45.37 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 121 | 133.6 | 0.91× |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $44.41 44.41 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 121 | 133.6 | 0.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $43.25 43.25 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 153 | 133.6 | 1.14× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $41.90 41.9 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 43 | 133.6 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $38.51 38.51 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 131 | 133.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $35.33 35.33 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 129 | 133.6 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $32.87 32.87 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 153 | 133.6 | 1.14× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $29.75 29.75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 134 | 133.6 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $28.19 28.19 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 138 | 133.6 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Bratatat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-bratatat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $26.18 26.18 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.9% | 125 | 133.6 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.63 23.63 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.8% | 125 | 133.6 | 0.94× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $22.85 22.85 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.8% | 152 | 133.6 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $21.16 21.16 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 149 | 133.6 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $20.57 20.57 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 134 | 133.6 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $19.07 19.07 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 119 | 133.6 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $18.37 18.37 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.6% | 126 | 133.6 | 0.94× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $17.18 17.18 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.6% | 119 | 133.6 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $14.83 14.83 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 144 | 133.6 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $13.22 13.22 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 158 | 133.6 | 1.18× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $13.06 13.06 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 142 | 133.6 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $11.05 11.05 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.6% | 209 | 200.5 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $10.89 10.89 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 229 | 233.9 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $9.54 9.54 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 270 | 267.3 | 1.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Green Line (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.17 8.17 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 310 | 334.1 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $7.61 7.61 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 339 | 334.1 | 1.01× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [kiuind](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/kiuind) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-09 21:16 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [ImYourFather](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/ImYourFather) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [ApparentlyGohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/ApparentlyGohan) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-05 11:50 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [bonp☣](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/bonp%E2%98%A3) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-05 00:08 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Marto](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Marto) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-04 13:45 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Marto](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Marto) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-04 13:45 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [el fragero](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/el%20fragero) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,013 1,013 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 15.19x 2026-11-04 11:56 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-minimal-wear) [сигарета на балконе](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B3%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%B0%20%D0%BD%D0%B0%20%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $951 951 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.26x 2026-11-11 07:39 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-minimal-wear) [My Epic System](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/My%20Epic%20System) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $951 951 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.26x 2026-11-10 20:33 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-minimal-wear) [💜 StellaraCrow 💜](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%F0%9F%92%9C%20StellaraCrow%20%F0%9F%92%9C) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $951 951 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.26x 2026-11-09 04:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=116)

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [Banane](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Banane) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $53.94 53.94 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.81x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC

[M4A4 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) [Banane](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Banane) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $89.52 89.52 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.34x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) [Marker](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Marker) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $79.78 79.78 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.20x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) [DισxчDε](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/D%CE%B9%CF%83x%D1%87D%CE%B5) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $46.32 46.32 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.69x 2026-11-11 15:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) [Въебал Бомжа](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%92%D1%8A%D0%B5%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BB%20%D0%91%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B6%D0%B0) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $45.37 45.37 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.68x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) [Budget Boy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Budget%20Boy) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $23.63 23.63 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.35x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) [fim](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/fim) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $347 347 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 5.21x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[AWP | Sun in Leo (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-well-worn) [велосипед](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BF%D0%B5%D0%B4) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $19.07 19.07 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [велосипед](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BF%D0%B5%D0%B4) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $86.39 86.39 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.30x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) [♕ SIGORD ♕](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E2%99%95%20SIGORD%20%E2%99%95) $66.66 66.66 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $10.89 10.89 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $66.66 | 86.25% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 09:11 UTC | $66.66 | 86.34% | 56 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $66.66 | 86.35% | 56 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 12.2% sunny 0.9% rare 0.4% covert knife 6.0% #EB4B4B 1.0% mil spec 3.0% #eb4b4b 2.0% restricted 13.0% Immortal 2.0% classified 23.5% Legendary 2.0% Ancient 2.0% pink 9.0% Classified 4.0% violet 2.0% red 2.0% industrial 2.0% uncommon 7.0% Restricted 2.0% consumer 4.0% best hit $1,013 (15.19x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.25 on average: an expected loss of $13.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt