---
title: "The Bookworm case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Bookworm ($109.99) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.61% from 55 items with odds, observed 82.98% over 5,437 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [The Bookworm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · The Bookworm

A case on Hotpizza.gg (BACK2SCHOOL), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118?window=all)

Price · $109.99 · 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 83.61% · EV $91.97 from 55 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.98% · 5,437 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.13% ±7.72 668 openings

7 days · 83.17% ±2.95 4,574 openings

30 days · 82.98% ±2.71 5,437 openings

since tracking started · 82.98% ±2.71 5,437 openings

75.0% 83.3% 91.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118?window=24h) | 668 | 83.13% ±7.72 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118?window=7d) | 4,574 | 83.17% ±2.95 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118) | 5,437 | 82.98% ±2.71 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118?window=all) | 5,437 | 82.98% ±2.71 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 55 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,454 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.4% | 13 | 10.9 | 1.19× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,233 1,233 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,173 1,173 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $994 994 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 7 | 10.9 | 0.64× |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $617 617 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 16 | 16.4 | 0.98× |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $583 583 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 16 | 16.4 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $407 407 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 31 | 21.8 | 1.42× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $308 308 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 25 | 21.8 | 1.15× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $259 259 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 20 | 21.8 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $247 247 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 24 | 21.8 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $223 223 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 23 | 21.8 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $189 189 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 26 | 27.3 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $187 187 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 33 | 27.3 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $175 175 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 26 | 32.7 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $171 171 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 23 | 32.7 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $168 168 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 40 | 43.6 | 0.92× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $158 158 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 29 | 43.6 | 0.66× |
| [P90 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $153 153 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 41 | 43.6 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $148 148 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 51 | 43.6 | 1.17× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $145 145 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 47 | 43.6 | 1.08× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $142 142 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 50 | 49.1 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $139 139 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 45 | 49.1 | 0.92× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $135 135 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 59 | 54.5 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $129 129 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 46 | 54.5 | 0.84× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $124 124 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 40 | 54.5 | 0.73× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $122 122 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 76 | 81.8 | 0.93× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $122 122 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 74 | 81.8 | 0.90× |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $121 121 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.6% | 36 | 109.1 | 0.33× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $119 119 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.6% | 115 | 109.1 | 1.05× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $119 119 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 105 | 114.5 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $116 116 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.8% | 94 | 120.0 | 0.78× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $111 111 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.8% | 120 | 125.4 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $104 104 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 41 | 130.9 | 0.31× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $95.18 95.18 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.5% | 126 | 130.9 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $92.87 92.87 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 135 | 130.9 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $89.84 89.84 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 133 | 130.9 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $88.72 88.72 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 146 | 136.3 | 1.07× |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $82.33 82.33 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 134 | 136.3 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $78.12 78.12 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 145 | 136.3 | 1.06× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $76.44 76.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 142 | 152.7 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $73.50 73.5 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 160 | 163.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $66.49 66.49 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 174 | 163.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $63.14 63.14 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 167 | 163.6 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $56.62 56.62 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 177 | 163.6 | 1.08× |
| [P2000 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $56.08 56.08 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 175 | 163.6 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $55.24 55.24 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 155 | 163.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $50.29 50.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 48 | 163.6 | 0.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $49.96 49.96 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 188 | 163.6 | 1.15× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $45.56 45.56 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 168 | 163.6 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $44.36 44.36 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 169 | 163.6 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $41.72 41.72 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 168 | 169.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $40.99 40.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 235 | 218.2 | 1.08× |
| [M4A4 \| Global Offensive (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $39.71 39.71 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 226 | 223.6 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $32.33 32.33 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 263 | 278.2 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $31.34 31.34 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 316 | 327.2 | 0.97× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [Ichiro](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Ichiro) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-11 02:57 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [.eclipse](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/.eclipse) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-09 12:46 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [NaMbow](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/NaMbow) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-09 12:26 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [Jackk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Jackk) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-08 07:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [Oneiros](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Oneiros) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-08 07:31 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [Chungus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Chungus) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-06 20:15 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [Анальный Сеньор](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8C%D0%BE%D1%80) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-06 13:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [F1LIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/F1LIN) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-06 05:05 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [AmishTomato](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AmishTomato) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-05 20:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [BaguetteMyster](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/BaguetteMyster) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,577 1,577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 14.34x 2026-11-05 18:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=118)

[M4A4 | Global Offensive (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-factory-new) [Sir Cloudmaker](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Sir%20Cloudmaker) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $39.71 39.71 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[M4A4 | Global Offensive (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-factory-new) [DongDaDongko](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/DongDaDongko) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $39.71 39.71 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) [Serial](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Serial) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $119 119 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.08x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) [Bittah Prophet ☣](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Bittah%20Prophet%20%E2%98%A3) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $88.72 88.72 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) [Bittah Prophet ☣](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Bittah%20Prophet%20%E2%98%A3) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $49.96 49.96 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) [fonky monky](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/fonky%20monky) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $76.44 76.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) [AzTech](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AzTech) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $129 129 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.17x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) [Balance](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Balance) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $50.29 50.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[M4A4 | Global Offensive (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-factory-new) [Shmichael](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Shmichael) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $39.71 39.71 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) [Balance](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Balance) $110 110 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $89.84 89.84 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $110 | 83.61% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 09:11 UTC | $110 | 83.71% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 07:59 UTC | $110 | 83.59% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $110 | 83.49% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $110 | 83.40% | 55 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 24.6% Covert 2.3% mil spec 7.2% restricted 4.3% epic 1.3% Legendary 0.8% industrial 6.0% rare 4.0% covert knife 4.8% Classified 4.5% #ffd700 2.0% Immortal 2.1% classified 26.0% #eb4b4b 3.0% red 3.0% blue 4.1% best hit $1,577 (14.34x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.61 on average: an expected loss of $16.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt