--- title: "XXXL case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "XXXL ($0.00) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [XXXL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126) # [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · XXXL A case on Hotpizza.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126?window=all) Price · $0.00 · 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/126?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hotpizza.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [dr pecker](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/dr%20pecker) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $672 672 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) [bonyo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/bonyo) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $620 620 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) [БХ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%91%D0%A5) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $620 620 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-06 16:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=126) [★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) [snake6374](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/snake6374) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $69.60 69.6 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) [NeO-](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/NeO-) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $23.52 23.52 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:08 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) [Dravenation](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Dravenation) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $23.52 23.52 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) [.GS CaptainSlapAHoe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/.GS%20CaptainSlapAHoe) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $30.20 30.2 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC [SSG 08 | Detour (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-factory-new) [B1ybO.☄👽](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/B1ybO.%E2%98%84%F0%9F%91%BD) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $24.77 24.77 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [babyface](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/babyface) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) [bonyo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/bonyo) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $620 620 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-field-tested) [bonyo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/bonyo) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $52.44 52.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [9mm](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/9mm) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:34 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Road Rash (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-road-rash-field-tested) [Если ты читаешь это, ты гей](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%95%D1%81%D0%BB%D0%B8%20%D1%82%D1%8B%20%D1%87%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D1%88%D1%8C%20%D1%8D%D1%82%D0%BE%2C%20%D1%82%D1%8B%20%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%B9) $0 0 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $25.73 25.73 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt