---
title: "AKella-47 case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AKella-47 ($98.00) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.45% from 44 items with odds, observed 94.36% over 5,920 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [AKella-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · AKella-47

A case on Hotpizza.gg (CS2 SQUAD), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131?window=all)

Price · $98.00 · 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 93.45% · EV $91.58 from 44 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.36% · 5,920 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.13% ±5.02 671 openings

7 days · 93.88% ±1.85 4,967 openings

30 days · 94.36% ±1.69 5,920 openings

since tracking started · 94.36% ±1.69 5,920 openings

87.5% 93.3% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131?window=24h) | 671 | 93.13% ±5.02 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131?window=7d) | 4,967 | 93.88% ±1.85 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131) | 5,920 | 94.36% ±1.69 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/131?window=all) | 5,920 | 94.36% ±1.69 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,937 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,073 1,073 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.6% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $979 979 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $607 607 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.18× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $577 577 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $387 387 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 21 | 14.8 | 1.41× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $374 374 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 15 | 17.8 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $337 337 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 21 | 26.7 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $293 293 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 27 | 29.7 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $268 268 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 36 | 29.7 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $237 237 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 38 | 32.7 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $225 225 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 44 | 35.6 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $214 214 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 46 | 41.6 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $209 209 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 51 | 41.6 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $197 197 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 50 | 44.5 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $194 194 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 44 | 44.5 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $188 188 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 47 | 47.5 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 118 | $173 173 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 49 | 50.5 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $155 155 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 50 | 53.4 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $137 137 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 77 | 59.4 | 1.30× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $136 136 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 58 | 65.3 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $129 129 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 64 | 71.2 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $128 128 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 68 | 71.2 | 0.95× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $123 123 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 82 | 89.1 | 0.92× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $118 118 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.6% | 121 | 118.7 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $105 105 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.9% | 159 | 148.4 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $100 100 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 163 | 178.1 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $99.77 99.77 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.8% | 183 | 207.8 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $92.45 92.45 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.0% | 228 | 237.5 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $84.99 84.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.6% | 275 | 296.8 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $83.27 83.27 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 5.0% | 342 | 326.5 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $82.18 82.18 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 5.4% | 352 | 356.2 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $81.50 81.5 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 5.8% | 388 | 385.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $77.30 77.3 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 5.1% | 371 | 356.2 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $69.00 69 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.8% | 289 | 296.8 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $68.53 68.53 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.7% | 279 | 296.8 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $67.31 67.31 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.7% | 299 | 296.8 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $62.99 62.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.1% | 293 | 267.2 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $62.17 62.17 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 238 | 237.5 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $57.35 57.35 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.5% | 232 | 237.5 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $53.80 53.8 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 267 | 237.5 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $45.25 45.25 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 173 | 178.1 | 0.97× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $26.00 26 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.7% | 141 | 148.4 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $21.85 21.85 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 108 | 118.7 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $17.60 17.6 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.4% | 122 | 118.7 | 1.03× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [пт на трахать?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%BF%D1%82%20%D0%BD%D0%B0%20%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%82%D1%8C%3F) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,073 1,073 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 10.94x 2026-11-10 06:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [HIMARS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/HIMARS) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,073 1,073 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 10.94x 2026-11-09 03:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [Beybi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Beybi) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,073 1,073 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 10.94x 2026-11-06 06:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [GeneticallyEngineeredBanana](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/GeneticallyEngineeredBanana) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $979 979 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 9.99x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [беляш2007](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%B1%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8F%D1%882007) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $979 979 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 9.99x 2026-11-05 14:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Bryce.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Bryce.) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $979 979 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 9.99x 2026-11-04 08:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Cyber](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Cyber) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $979 979 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 9.99x 2026-11-03 08:06 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [Elster](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Elster) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $607 607 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.20x 2026-11-09 00:19 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [! n o e.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/!%20n%20o%20e.) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $607 607 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.20x 2026-11-07 18:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [AtomicWaffle](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AtomicWaffle) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $607 607 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.20x 2026-11-06 19:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=131)

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) [FAIL SENPA1™](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FAIL%20SENPA1%E2%84%A2) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $100 100 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.02x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) [Maxymo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Maxymo) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $77.30 77.3 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.79x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) [Hisoka Morow - BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Hisoka%20Morow%20-%20BR) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.60 17.6 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Hisoka Morow - BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Hisoka%20Morow%20-%20BR) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $67.31 67.31 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.69x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) [Hisoka Morow - BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Hisoka%20Morow%20-%20BR) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $214 214 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.19x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Maxymo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Maxymo) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $67.31 67.31 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.69x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC

[Souvenir AK-47 | B the Monster (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) [Hisoka Morow - BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Hisoka%20Morow%20-%20BR) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $123 123 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.26x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) [Gevonkio](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Gevonkio) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $129 129 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.31x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC

[AK-47 | First Class (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-battle-scarred) [Gevonkio](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Gevonkio) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $84.99 84.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.87x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) [SneakySnek](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/SneakySnek) $98.00 98 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $67.31 67.31 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.69x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $98.00 | 93.45% | 44 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 18.6% covert 43.2% Ancient 1.7% legendary 0.3% #eb4b4b 0.5% epic 0.7% restricted 11.9% other 2.0% #8847ff 5.0% pink 6.5% red 4.0% mil spec 5.5% best hit $1,073 (10.94x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.45 on average: an expected loss of $6.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
