---
title: "Platinum case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Platinum ($777.00) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.74% from 48 items with odds, observed 85.79% over 2,391 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [Platinum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · Platinum

A case on Hotpizza.gg (Metal Edition), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138?window=all)

Price · $777.00 · 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 85.74% · EV $666.20 from 48 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.79% · 2,391 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.10% ±7.47 272 openings

7 days · 85.81% ±2.78 1,967 openings

30 days · 85.79% ±2.52 2,391 openings

since tracking started · 85.79% ±2.52 2,391 openings

76.0% 84.0% 92.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138?window=24h) | 272 | 84.10% ±7.47 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138?window=7d) | 1,967 | 85.81% ±2.78 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138) | 2,391 | 85.79% ±2.52 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/138?window=all) | 2,391 | 85.79% ±2.52 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,395 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,903 2,903 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 500 | $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.9% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $2,565 2,565 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.34× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $2,435 2,435 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 286 | $2,346 2,346 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.72× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 250 | $2,300 2,300 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 1 | 9.6 | 0.10× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 250 | $2,056 2,056 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 14 | 9.6 | 1.46× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,844 1,844 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 125 | $1,740 1,740 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 28 | 19.2 | 1.46× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $1,672 1,672 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 22 | 19.2 | 1.15× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,628 1,628 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 23 | 23.9 | 0.96× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,600 1,600 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 32 | 23.9 | 1.34× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $1,538 1,538 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 19 | 23.9 | 0.79× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,526 1,526 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 24 | 23.9 | 1.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,484 1,484 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.2% | 28 | 23.9 | 1.17× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $1,407 1,407 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 26 | 23.9 | 1.09× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,379 1,379 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 15 | 23.9 | 0.63× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,351 1,351 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 16 | 23.9 | 0.67× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,287 1,287 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 23 | 23.9 | 0.96× |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,222 1,222 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 33 | 23.9 | 1.38× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife) | 1 in 100 | $1,136 1,136 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 5 | 23.9 | 0.21× |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $1,107 1,107 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 29 | 26.3 | 1.10× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 50 | $1,080 1,080 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.2% | 36 | 47.9 | 0.75× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 50 | $1,055 1,055 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.2% | 40 | 47.9 | 0.84× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit) | 1 in 50 | $1,052 1,052 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.2% | 8 | 47.9 | 0.17× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $954 954 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.9% | 55 | 47.9 | 1.15× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $913 913 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 60 | 47.9 | 1.25× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $903 903 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 39 | 47.9 | 0.81× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 50 | $890 890 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 53 | 47.9 | 1.11× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $806 806 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.0% | 52 | 59.9 | 0.87× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $759 759 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.0% | 91 | 83.8 | 1.09× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $723 723 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.8% | 85 | 83.8 | 1.01× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $626 626 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 78 | 83.8 | 0.93× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $573 573 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.4% | 97 | 95.8 | 1.01× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $501 501 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.0% | 91 | 95.8 | 0.95× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $432 432 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.6% | 93 | 95.8 | 0.97× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $376 376 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 141 | 141.3 | 1.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $357 357 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.7% | 118 | 119.7 | 0.99× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $325 325 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.0% | 108 | 95.8 | 1.13× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $287 287 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 74 | 95.8 | 0.77× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $269 269 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 110 | 95.8 | 1.15× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $250 250 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 90 | 95.8 | 0.94× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $241 241 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 25 | 95.8 | 0.26× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) | 1 in 33 | $240 240 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 74 | 71.8 | 1.03× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $226 226 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 75 | 71.8 | 1.04× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $216 216 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 64 | 71.8 | 0.89× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $212 212 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 65 | 71.8 | 0.90× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $152 152 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 66 | 47.9 | 1.38× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) [b](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/b) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,903 2,903 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.74x 2026-11-10 10:49 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [MeBigBrain](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/MeBigBrain) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-11 05:05 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Better than U](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Better%20than%20U) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-06 22:29 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [crazywisler](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/crazywisler) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-06 08:33 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [انتخب | elected](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AA%D8%AE%D8%A8%20%7C%20elected) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-06 07:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [9ty](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/9ty) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-05 22:26 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [h1ca](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/h1ca) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-05 20:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [山卄丨ㄒ乇千ㄖ乂SKINBOX](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E5%B1%B1%E5%8D%84%E4%B8%A8%E3%84%92%E4%B9%87%E5%8D%83%E3%84%96%E4%B9%82SKINBOX) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,846 2,846 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.66x 2026-11-05 15:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [Dillinger](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Dillinger) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,565 2,565 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.30x 2026-11-09 12:26 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [PT 76B NA NOJKAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/PT%2076B%20NA%20NOJKAH) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $2,565 2,565 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 3.30x 2026-11-09 12:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=138)

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new) [BOT NICKO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/BOT%20NICKO) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,287 1,287 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.66x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) [BOT NICKO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/BOT%20NICKO) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $240 240 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [I\<3KEBAB](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/I%3C3KEBAB) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $890 890 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.14x 2026-11-11 16:37 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [frann91](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/frann91) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $269 269 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) [introverted mindset'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/introverted%20mindset') $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $357 357 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.46x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [FratiaXd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FratiaXd) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $890 890 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.14x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [FratiaXd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FratiaXd) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $152 152 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [FratiaXd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FratiaXd) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $432 432 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.56x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Faint](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Faint) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,740 1,740 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.24x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new) [3MMC](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/3MMC) $777 777 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,287 1,287 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.66x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $777 | 85.74% | 48 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $777 | 85.75% | 48 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $777 | 85.71% | 48 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 50.8% Knives 4.2% epic 1.3% Covert 1.8% gold 3.0% #EB4B4B 3.0% covert knife 30.4% other 3.5% #ffd700 2.0% best hit $2,903 (3.74x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.74 on average: an expected loss of $14.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt