---
title: "Hazardous Habanero case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hazardous Habanero ($220.00) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.92% from 43 items with odds, observed 85.10% over 4,887 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [Hazardous Habanero](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · Hazardous Habanero

A case on Hotpizza.gg (Hellfire Cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143?window=all)

Price · $220.00 · 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 85.92% · EV $189.03 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.10% · 4,887 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.09% ±5.15 608 openings

7 days · 85.55% ±2.05 4,078 openings

30 days · 85.10% ±1.88 4,887 openings

since tracking started · 85.10% ±1.88 4,887 openings

80.5% 86.3% 92.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143?window=24h) | 608 | 86.09% ±5.15 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143?window=7d) | 4,078 | 85.55% ±2.05 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143) | 4,887 | 85.10% ±1.88 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/143?window=all) | 4,887 | 85.10% ±1.88 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,904 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,153 1,153 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,150 1,150 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 20 | 14.7 | 1.36× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,011 1,011 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.1% | 15 | 19.6 | 0.76× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $838 838 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.8% | 13 | 19.6 | 0.66× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $733 733 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 20 | 19.6 | 1.02× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $604 604 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 18 | 24.5 | 0.73× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $575 575 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 14 | 24.5 | 0.57× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $512 512 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 22 | 24.5 | 0.90× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $487 487 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 30 | 24.5 | 1.22× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $479 479 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 29 | 29.4 | 0.99× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 143 | $405 405 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 35 | 34.3 | 1.02× |
| [★ Talon Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife) | 1 in 111 | $345 345 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 34 | 44.1 | 0.77× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 111 | $333 333 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 45 | 44.1 | 1.02× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $265 265 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 52 | 49.0 | 1.06× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $256 256 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 33 | 49.0 | 0.67× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $247 247 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 53 | 49.0 | 1.08× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 50 | $239 239 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.5% | 86 | 98.1 | 0.88× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $222 222 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 100 | 98.1 | 1.02× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $222 222 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 106 | 98.1 | 1.08× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $215 215 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 102 | 98.1 | 1.04× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $212 212 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.4% | 144 | 147.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $206 206 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.4% | 209 | 196.2 | 1.07× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $205 205 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.3% | 188 | 196.2 | 0.96× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $194 194 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.1% | 204 | 196.2 | 1.04× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $190 190 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.0% | 217 | 196.2 | 1.11× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 25 | $173 173 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.7% | 195 | 196.2 | 0.99× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $169 169 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.5% | 239 | 245.2 | 0.97× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $166 166 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.4% | 235 | 245.2 | 0.96× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $165 165 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.4% | 217 | 245.2 | 0.88× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $157 157 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.2% | 245 | 245.2 | 1.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $153 153 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.2% | 179 | 196.2 | 0.91× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $149 149 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.9% | 249 | 245.2 | 1.02× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.0% | 216 | 196.2 | 1.10× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $134 134 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.8% | 40 | 196.2 | 0.20× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $114 114 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 236 | 196.2 | 1.20× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $109 109 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 153 | 147.1 | 1.04× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $91.68 91.68 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 151 | 147.1 | 1.03× |
| [★ Kukri Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife) | 1 in 33 | $88.73 88.73 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 137 | 147.1 | 0.93× |
| [★ Ursus Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife) | 1 in 50 | $78.22 78.22 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.8% | 106 | 98.1 | 1.08× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $72.08 72.08 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.8% | 78 | 98.1 | 0.80× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $65.59 65.59 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 147 | 147.1 | 1.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $43.82 43.82 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 92 | 98.1 | 0.94× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Sammy39](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Sammy39) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [F4TİH](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/F4T%C4%B0H) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Baulin IV](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Baulin%20IV) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-10 20:21 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [COOOLER](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/COOOLER) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-10 02:25 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [auguste](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/auguste) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-08 07:40 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Gert Von Fuck You](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Gert%20Von%20Fuck%20You) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-06 12:17 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Atlas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Atlas) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-04 17:37 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [GuardN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/GuardN) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-04 08:28 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Gangstic](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Gangstic) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-04 01:21 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Dead Watcher](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Dead%20Watcher) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,310 1,310 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 5.95x 2026-11-08 11:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=143)

[★ Kukri Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife) [卄乇尺ㄖ℣卂](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E5%8D%84%E4%B9%87%E5%B0%BA%E3%84%96%E2%84%A3%E5%8D%82) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $88.73 88.73 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [acT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/acT) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $205 205 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [Jam Jam](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Jam%20Jam) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Jam Jam](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Jam%20Jam) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $512 512 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.33x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [FireFighter\_Jeffery](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FireFighter_Jeffery) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) [FireFighter\_Jeffery](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FireFighter_Jeffery) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $166 166 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.76x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) [Эгрегор](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%AD%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B3%D0%BE%D1%80) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $72.08 72.08 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [ШАМИЛЬxКРОВОСТОК](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%A8%D0%90%D0%9C%D0%98%D0%9B%D0%ACx%D0%9A%D0%A0%D0%9E%D0%92%D0%9E%D0%A1%D0%A2%D0%9E%D0%9A) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $194 194 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [franczesko paltegumi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/franczesko%20paltegumi) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $173 173 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.79x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Sammy39](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Sammy39) $220 220 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,440 1,440 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.55x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $220 | 85.92% | 43 |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | $220 | 86.36% | 43 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $220 | 86.44% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.2% covert 34.8% covert knife 57.9% gold 1.1% Knives 2.0% other 4.0% best hit $1,440 (6.55x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.92 on average: an expected loss of $14.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt