---
title: "Mission the Ritual case on Hotpizza.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Mission the Ritual ($170.00) on Hotpizza.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.59% from 44 items with odds, observed 89.22% over 5,307 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) / [Mission the Ritual](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96)

# [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) · Mission the Ritual

A case on Hotpizza.gg (Operation «‎HOTPIZZA»‎), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96?window=all)

Price · $170.00 · 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT

Advertised RTP · 91.59% · EV $155.70 from 44 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.22% · 5,307 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.19% ±6.29 623 openings

7 days · 89.30% ±2.36 4,439 openings

30 days · 89.22% ±2.16 5,307 openings

since tracking started · 89.22% ±2.16 5,307 openings

82.0% 89.0% 96.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 91.77% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (87.06% – 91.39%, 5,307 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96?window=24h) | 623 | 89.19% ±6.29 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96?window=7d) | 4,439 | 89.30% ±2.36 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96) | 5,307 | 89.22% ±2.16 | −2.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/96?window=all) | 5,307 | 89.22% ±2.16 | −2.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,322 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,671 4,671 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,174 1,174 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.8% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $822 822 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.5% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $780 780 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 0.8% | 4 | 8.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $745 745 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.0% | 11 | 10.6 | 1.03× |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $741 741 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 16 | 16.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $623 623 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 15 | 16.0 | 0.94× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $573 573 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 18 | 21.3 | 0.85× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $442 442 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.1% | 17 | 21.3 | 0.80× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $406 406 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 5 | 31.9 | 0.16× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $333 333 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 5 | 37.3 | 0.13× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 143 | $274 274 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 40 | 37.3 | 1.07× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $261 261 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.7% | 54 | 53.2 | 1.01× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $254 254 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.6% | 55 | 53.2 | 1.03× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $237 237 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 44 | 53.2 | 0.83× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $235 235 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.5% | 6 | 53.2 | 0.11× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $225 225 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 39 | 53.2 | 0.73× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $223 223 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 54 | 53.2 | 1.01× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $222 222 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 57 | 53.2 | 1.07× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $219 219 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 49 | 53.2 | 0.92× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $216 216 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.4% | 49 | 53.2 | 0.92× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $203 203 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.3% | 47 | 53.2 | 0.88× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $191 191 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 50 | 53.2 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $189 189 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 8 | 53.2 | 0.15× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $181 181 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.2% | 54 | 53.2 | 1.01× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $178 178 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.3% | 90 | 106.4 | 0.85× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.3% | 163 | 159.7 | 1.02× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 33 | $161 161 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.1% | 161 | 159.7 | 1.01× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $155 155 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.0% | 211 | 212.9 | 0.99× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $154 154 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.9% | 224 | 212.9 | 1.05× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $152 152 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.9% | 231 | 212.9 | 1.09× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.7% | 211 | 212.9 | 0.99× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.7% | 30 | 212.9 | 0.14× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $141 141 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.6% | 211 | 212.9 | 0.99× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife) | 1 in 25 | $138 138 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.5% | 212 | 212.9 | 1.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $134 134 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.5% | 216 | 212.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $132 132 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.2% | 293 | 266.1 | 1.10× |
| [★ Nomad Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife) | 1 in 20 | $131 131 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.2% | 251 | 266.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $128 128 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.1% | 37 | 266.1 | 0.14× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $123 123 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.0% | 40 | 266.1 | 0.15× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $120 120 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 3.9% | 32 | 266.1 | 0.12× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $115 115 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 4.4% | 321 | 319.3 | 1.01× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $61.40 61.4 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 2.4% | 296 | 319.3 | 0.93× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $50.27 50.27 HOTPIZZA\_POINT | 1.9% | 356 | 319.3 | 1.11× |

Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hotpizza:api/data`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Moetel](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Moetel) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,174 1,174 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.91x 2026-11-11 09:13 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Black\_Man10](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Black_Man10) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,174 1,174 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.91x 2026-11-07 19:56 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [失われた\[Panda\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E5%A4%B1%E3%82%8F%E3%82%8C%E3%81%9F%5BPanda%5D) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,174 1,174 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.91x 2026-11-07 02:39 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Had2u](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Had2u) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,174 1,174 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.91x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [#RIPBOZO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%23RIPBOZO) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $1,174 1,174 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 6.91x 2026-11-05 15:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) [Bab](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Bab) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $845 845 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.97x 2026-11-08 23:16 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) [J o o♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/J%20o%20o%E2%99%BF) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $845 845 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.97x 2026-11-06 09:22 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) [Dr. Weird](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Dr.%20Weird) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $845 845 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.97x 2026-11-06 03:08 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) [は性交を与えな](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E3%81%AF%E6%80%A7%E4%BA%A4%E3%82%92%E4%B8%8E%E3%81%88%E3%81%AA) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $822 822 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.83x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) [данилито](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%BE) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $822 822 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.83x 2026-11-08 15:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hotpizza&case=96)

[★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [cuzamena GEO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/cuzamena%20GEO) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $50.27 50.27 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-well-worn) [AGF](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AGF) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.85x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [AGF](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AGF) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $115 115 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [Ethiamach1](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Ethiamach1) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $406 406 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.39x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Isukki](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Isukki) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $132 132 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-well-worn) [Capt. Grandpow](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Capt.%20Grandpow) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.85x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [Capt. Grandpow](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Capt.%20Grandpow) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $50.27 50.27 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [Harumi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Harumi) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $144 144 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.85x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [Harumi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Harumi) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $161 161 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.95x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [Harumi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Harumi) $170 170 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $216 216 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.27x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $170 | 91.59% | 44 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $170 | 91.80% | 44 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 38.0% #EB4B4B 0.1% gold 12.5% covert knife 29.0% sunny 3.4% epic 3.0% other 9.0% Immortal 5.0% best hit $1,174 (6.91x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.59 on average: an expected loss of $8.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt