---
title: "Please knife case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Please knife ($1.60) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.31% from 26 items with odds, observed 68.86% over 228 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Please knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Please knife

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002?window=all)

Price · $1.60 · 2.52 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.31% · EV $1.40 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 68.86% · 228 openings, odds method

Variance · 68.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 149 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 24 openings · below min

7 days · 150 openings · below min

30 days · 228 openings · below min

since tracking started · 228 openings · below min

-0.5% 199.0% 398.5%

**Small sample.** 228 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002?window=24h) | 24 | 67.15% ±330.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002?window=7d) | 150 | 31.95% ±132.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002) | 228 | 68.86% ±107.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1002?window=all) | 228 | 68.86% ±107.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 228 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $849 1,338 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $679 1,069 HUNT\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $106 168 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $103 162 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $96.51 152 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $89.58 141 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $89.47 141 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $88.90 140 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $86.53 136 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $82.36 130 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $82.36 130 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $77.78 123 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $71.61 113 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $18.95 29.85 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN | 6.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $18.41 28.99 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $17.99 28.34 HUNT\_COIN | 6.4% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [Nova \| Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.46 3.88 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 17 | 22.8 | 0.75× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 27.2% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 51 | 62.0 | 0.82× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 73 | 68.4 | 1.07× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 80 | 68.4 | 1.17× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $96.51 152 HUNT\_COIN 60.32x 2026-11-04 05:03 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1002)

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[Nova | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-field-tested) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $2.46 3.88 HUNT\_COIN 1.54x 2026-11-11 09:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:08 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.60 2.52 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.60 | 87.31% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.2% covert 1.0% Immortal 0.1% Knives 0.1% classified 0.5% consumer 87.7% restricted 0.5% Industrial Grade 10.0% best hit $96.51 (60.32x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.31 on average: an expected loss of $12.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt