---
title: "3 cent battle case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "3 cent battle ($0.05) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 78.75% from 3 items with odds, observed 75.18% over 204 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [3 cent battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 3 cent battle

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004?window=all)

Price · $0.05 · 0.08 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 78.75% · EV $0.04 from 3 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.18% · 204 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 7 openings · below min

7 days · 78.90% ±20.57 109 openings

30 days · 75.18% ±15.03 204 openings

since tracking started · 75.18% ±15.03 204 openings

-0.5% 62.0% 124.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004?window=24h) | 7 | 42.86% ±81.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004?window=7d) | 109 | 78.90% ±20.6 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004) | 204 | 75.18% ±15.0 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1004?window=all) | 204 | 75.18% ±15.0 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir G3SG1 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN | 34.1% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× |
| [Sticker \| Kitted Out sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kitted-out) | 45.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 50.0% | 90 | 91.8 | 0.98× |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 15.9% | 105 | 102.0 | 1.03× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1004)

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Alexander Virkki](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Alexander%20Virkki) $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Kitted Out sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kitted-out) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.88x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[Sticker | Kitted Out sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kitted-out) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.88x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [GAMBLER OF SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/GAMBLER%20OF%20SKINS) $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 16:42 UTC

[Sticker | Kitted Out sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kitted-out) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.88x 2026-11-10 16:42 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 16:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.05 | 78.75% | 3 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Consumer Grade 55.0% high 45.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.75 on average: an expected loss of $21.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
