--- title: "The Plastic Mug case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Plastic Mug ($559.02) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 105.01% over 42 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [The Plastic Mug](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · The Plastic Mug A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016?window=all) Price · $559.02 · 880 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 105.01% · 42 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min 54.0% 105.0% 156.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016?window=7d) | 42 | 105.01% ±50.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016) | 42 | 105.01% ±50.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1016?window=all) | 42 | 105.01% ±50.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $4,394 6,921 HUNT\_COIN 7.86x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $4,394 6,921 HUNT\_COIN 7.86x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $1,040 1,638 HUNT\_COIN 1.86x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $1,040 1,638 HUNT\_COIN 1.86x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $1,040 1,638 HUNT\_COIN 1.86x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $849 1,338 HUNT\_COIN 1.52x 2026-11-05 01:17 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $806 1,269 HUNT\_COIN 1.44x 2026-11-05 01:08 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $710 1,118 HUNT\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $710 1,118 HUNT\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $710 1,118 HUNT\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-05 01:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1016) [Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-factory-new) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $554 872 HUNT\_COIN 0.99x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $1,040 1,638 HUNT\_COIN 1.86x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $710 1,118 HUNT\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $23.26 36.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $550 866 HUNT\_COIN 0.98x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $4,394 6,921 HUNT\_COIN 7.86x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $23.26 36.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) Hidden $559 880 HUNT\_COIN $710 1,118 HUNT\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,394 (7.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 105.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $105.01 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt