--- title: "Good drops case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Good drops ($0.20) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.22% from 7 items with odds, observed 88.56% over 372 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Good drops](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Good drops A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020?window=all) Price · $0.20 · 0.31 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.22% · EV $0.18 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.56% · 372 openings, odds method Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 79.93% ±34.58 236 openings 30 days · 88.56% ±27.54 372 openings since tracking started · 88.56% ±27.54 372 openings 44.5% 80.8% 117.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020?window=7d) | 236 | 79.93% ±34.6 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020) | 372 | 88.56% ±27.5 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1020?window=all) | 372 | 88.56% ±27.5 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 372 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $15.37 24.21 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.46 5.45 HUNT\_COIN | 19.7% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $3.46 5.45 HUNT\_COIN | 19.5% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 14 | 11.2 | 1.25× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 13 | 11.2 | 1.16× | | [XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) | 91.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 39.5% | 334 | 338.5 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1020) [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) [Szafir skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Szafir%20skins.army) $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:32 UTC [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $3.46 5.45 HUNT\_COIN 17.58x 2026-11-10 09:32 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.84x 2026-11-10 09:32 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:32 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN 1.68x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) [Szafir skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Szafir%20skins.army) $0.20 0.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.39x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.20 | 89.22% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 4.0% Consumer Grade 1.0% pink 1.0% industrial 3.0% uncommon 91.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.22 on average: an expected loss of $10.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt