--- title: "AK SLATE case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "AK SLATE ($0.35) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.05% from 4 items with odds, observed 125.78% over 407 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [AK SLATE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · AK SLATE A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021?window=all) Price · $0.35 · 0.55 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.05% · EV $0.30 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 125.78% · 407 openings, odds method Variance · 17.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 135 openings · below min 7 days · 130.38% ±43.95 347 openings 30 days · 125.78% ±40.58 407 openings since tracking started · 125.78% ±40.58 407 openings 47.0% 118.0% 189.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021?window=24h) | 135 | 117.99% ±70.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021?window=7d) | 347 | 130.38% ±44.0 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021) | 407 | 125.78% ±40.6 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1021?window=all) | 407 | 125.78% ±40.6 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 407 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $12.51 19.71 HUNT\_COIN | 41.2% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.47× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Parallax (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $6.24 9.83 HUNT\_COIN | 30.8% | 10 | 6.1 | 1.64× | | [P250 \| Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1.83 2.89 HUNT\_COIN | 12.1% | 12 | 8.1 | 1.47× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 95.5% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 379 | 388.7 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1021) [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $6.24 9.83 HUNT\_COIN 17.87x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.35 0.55 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.35 | 87.05% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 3.0% Restricted 1.5% other 95.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.05 on average: an expected loss of $12.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt