--- title: "AWP BOOOOM 10% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AWP BOOOOM 10% ($3.96) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.28% from 5 items with odds, observed 81.16% over 388 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [AWP BOOOOM 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · AWP BOOOOM 10% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028?window=all) Price · $3.96 · 6.24 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.28% · EV $3.46 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.16% · 388 openings, odds method Variance · 14.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 32.79% ±57.12 172 openings 30 days · 81.16% ±38.03 388 openings since tracking started · 81.16% ±38.03 388 openings -0.5% 154.0% 308.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028?window=24h) | 6 | 2.08% ±305.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028?window=7d) | 172 | 32.79% ±57.1 | −1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028) | 388 | 81.16% ±38.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1028?window=all) | 388 | 81.16% ±38.0 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 388 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $128 202 HUNT\_COIN | 37.1% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $49.93 78.64 HUNT\_COIN | 28.9% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $33.89 53.38 HUNT\_COIN | 19.6% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× | | [AWP \| POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.46 13.33 HUNT\_COIN | 12.2% | 12 | 19.4 | 0.62× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 358 | 349.2 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1028) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $3.96 6.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.96 | 87.28% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% covert 2.0% industrial 92.0% Restricted 5.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.28 on average: an expected loss of $12.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt