--- title: "1 HP 99 Damage case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1 HP 99 Damage ($0.28) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.54% from 7 items with odds, observed 65.98% over 4,361 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1 HP 99 Damage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1 HP 99 Damage A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104?window=all) Price · $0.28 · 0.44 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 85.54% · EV $0.24 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.98% · 4,361 openings, odds method Variance · 104.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 212 openings · below min 7 days · 68.97% ±32.45 3,816 openings 30 days · 65.98% ±30.35 4,361 openings since tracking started · 65.98% ±30.35 4,361 openings -0.5% 107.5% 215.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104?window=24h) | 212 | 76.95% ±137.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104?window=7d) | 3,816 | 68.97% ±32.4 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104) | 4,361 | 65.98% ±30.4 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/104?window=all) | 4,361 | 65.98% ±30.4 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,361 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $81.94 129 HUNT\_COIN | 17.1% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $46.67 73.51 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $42.78 67.38 HUNT\_COIN | 17.9% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $24.72 38.94 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN | 11.8% | 9 | 6.5 | 1.38× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $12.08 19.03 HUNT\_COIN | 27.8% | 25 | 24.0 | 1.04× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 5.3% | 4,322 | 4317.4 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $81.94 129 HUNT\_COIN 293.3x 2026-11-09 09:50 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $81.94 129 HUNT\_COIN 293.3x 2026-11-06 07:42 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) [Maltael](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Maltael) $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $46.67 73.51 HUNT\_COIN 167.1x 2026-11-08 23:06 UTC [Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $42.78 67.38 HUNT\_COIN 153.1x 2026-11-09 12:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $24.72 38.94 HUNT\_COIN 88.50x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN 67.14x 2026-11-11 09:11 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN 67.14x 2026-11-09 10:08 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN 67.14x 2026-11-09 09:50 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN 67.14x 2026-11-08 08:03 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN 67.14x 2026-11-06 15:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=104) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.28 0.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.28 | 85.54% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.8% covert 0.1% rare 0.2% consumer 99.0% best hit $81.94 (293.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.54 on average: an expected loss of $14.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt