--- title: "Zenel case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Zenel ($1.28) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.68% from 5 items with odds, observed 53.69% over 341 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043 rendered: 2026-11-12T02:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Zenel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Zenel A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043?window=all) Price · $1.28 · 2.02 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.68% · EV $1.12 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 53.69% · 341 openings, odds method Variance · 112.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 182 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 17 openings · below min 7 days · 277 openings · below min 30 days · 341 openings · below min since tracking started · 341 openings · below min -0.5% 252.5% 505.5% **Small sample.** 341 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043?window=24h) | 17 | 0.99% ±503.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043?window=7d) | 277 | 48.88% ±124.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043) | 341 | 53.69% ±112.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1043?window=all) | 341 | 53.69% ±112.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 341 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $525 827 HUNT\_COIN | 23.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $60.34 95.04 HUNT\_COIN | 26.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 24.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN | 24.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 98.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 337 | 335.7 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1043) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.28 2.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.28 | 87.68% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.6% Consumer Grade 98.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.68 on average: an expected loss of $12.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt