--- title: "HEIKKI 2 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "HEIKKI 2 ($1.25) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.55% from 4 items with odds, observed 105.07% over 239 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [HEIKKI 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · HEIKKI 2 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059?window=all) Price · $1.25 · 1.97 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.55% · EV $1.12 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.07% · 239 openings, odds method Variance · 43.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 56 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 203 openings · below min 30 days · 239 openings · below min since tracking started · 239 openings · below min -0.5% 206.0% 412.5% **Small sample.** 239 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059?window=24h) | 29 | 172.52% ±239.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059?window=7d) | 203 | 123.52% ±90.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059) | 239 | 105.07% ±83.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1059?window=all) | 239 | 105.07% ±83.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 239 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $62.22 98 HUNT\_COIN | 98.9% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.18× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 32.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 74 | 76.5 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 33.2% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 83 | 79.4 | 1.05× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 33.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 77 | 78.9 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1059) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.25 1.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.25 | 89.55% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 1.8% Consumer Grade 32.0% consumer 66.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.55 on average: an expected loss of $10.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt