--- title: "Blue Steel case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blue Steel ($55.54) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 97.88% over 33 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Blue Steel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Blue Steel A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110?window=all) Price · $55.54 · 87.47 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.99% · EV $48.31 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.88% · 33 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 23 openings · below min 30 days · 33 openings · below min since tracking started · 33 openings · below min 21.5% 103.5% 185.5% **Small sample.** 33 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110?window=7d) | 23 | 103.42% ±81.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110) | 33 | 97.88% ±67.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/110?window=all) | 33 | 97.88% ±67.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,179 3,432 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,778 2,800 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $979 1,542 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $470 740 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $467 735 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $313 493 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $263 414 HUNT\_COIN | 21.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $209 330 HUNT\_COIN | 43.4% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 10.0% | $106 168 HUNT\_COIN | 22.0% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.82× | | [XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) | 75.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 22 | 24.8 | 0.89× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=110) [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $106 168 HUNT\_COIN 1.92x 2026-11-09 20:35 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:35 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $209 330 HUNT\_COIN 3.77x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $106 168 HUNT\_COIN 1.92x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $55.54 87.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $55.54 | 86.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.3% covert 14.8% Covert 10.0% uncommon 75.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.99 on average: an expected loss of $13.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt