--- title: "1 dollar demon case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1 dollar demon ($0.63) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.77% from 5 items with odds, observed 202.46% over 1,148 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1 dollar demon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1 dollar demon A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135?window=all) Price · $0.63 · 0.99 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.77% · EV $0.56 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 202.46% · 1,148 openings, odds method Variance · 233.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 816 openings · below min 30 days · 202.46% ±88.43 1,148 openings since tracking started · 202.46% ±88.43 1,148 openings -0.5% 277.0% 554.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 88.77% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (114.02% – 290.89%, 1,148 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135?window=24h) | 34 | 39.93% ±513.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135?window=7d) | 816 | 258.99% ±104.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135) | 1,148 | 202.46% ±88.4 | +2.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1135?window=all) | 1,148 | 202.46% ±88.4 | +2.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,148 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $857 1,351 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $155 245 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN | 39.3% | 10 | 6.3 | 1.58× | | [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 1 in 23 | $4.06 6.4 HUNT\_COIN | 32.0% | 47 | 50.5 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 95.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 1,090 | 1090.6 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [d1sab1ed](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/d1sab1ed) $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $857 1,351 HUNT\_COIN 1,364x 2026-11-09 13:03 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-09 13:09 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [Sixpaths](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sixpaths) $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-09 07:04 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [Tomáš](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1) $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-08 21:58 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-05 17:32 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-05 17:31 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-05 17:31 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [EyMingh](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/EyMingh) $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 63.41x 2026-11-04 09:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1135) [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $0.63 0.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.63 | 88.77% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.6% #8847ff 4.4% other 95.0% best hit $857 (1,364x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.77 on average: an expected loss of $11.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt