--- title: "1% knife case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% knife ($0.79) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.82% from 5 items with odds, observed 52.51% over 548 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% knife A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136?window=all) Price · $0.79 · 1.24 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.82% · EV $0.69 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 52.51% · 548 openings, odds method Variance · 185.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89 openings · below min 7 days · 336 openings · below min 30 days · 52.51% ±114.14 548 openings since tracking started · 52.51% ±114.14 548 openings -0.5% 220.8% 442.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136?window=24h) | 89 | 158.32% ±283.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136?window=7d) | 336 | 63.88% ±145.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136) | 548 | 52.51% ±114.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1136?window=all) | 548 | 52.51% ±114.1 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 548 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $849 1,338 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $255 402 HUNT\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 71.5% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 544 | 542.5 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 69.75x 2026-11-11 10:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 69.75x 2026-11-11 10:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 69.75x 2026-11-08 19:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 69.75x 2026-11-04 08:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1136) [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $0.79 1.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.79 | 87.82% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 0.0% covert 1.0% other 99.0% best hit $54.91 (69.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.82 on average: an expected loss of $12.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt