--- title: "10% MEGAPROFIT case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% MEGAPROFIT ($2.84) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.35% from 4 items with odds, observed 157.18% over 176 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% MEGAPROFIT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% MEGAPROFIT A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142?window=all) Price · $2.84 · 4.48 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.35% · EV $2.48 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 157.18% · 176 openings, sample method Variance · 78.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 22 openings · below min 7 days · 171 openings · below min 30 days · 176 openings · below min since tracking started · 176 openings · below min -0.5% 834.3% 1669.0% **Small sample.** 176 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142?window=24h) | 22 | 568.92% ±1099.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142?window=7d) | 171 | 160.82% ±199.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142) | 176 | 157.18% ±193.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1142?window=all) | 176 | 157.18% ±193.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 176 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $351 553 HUNT\_COIN | 70.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $60.97 96.03 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $4.58 7.22 HUNT\_COIN | 16.6% | 18 | 15.8 | 1.14× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 156 | 158.4 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $351 553 HUNT\_COIN 123.5x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $351 553 HUNT\_COIN 123.5x 2026-11-09 17:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1142) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $2.84 4.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC | $2.84 | 87.35% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% covert 9.0% consumer 90.0% best hit $351 (123.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.35 on average: an expected loss of $12.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt