--- title: "farm case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "farm ($0.03) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.52% from 4 items with odds, observed 80.85% over 2,751 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [farm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · farm A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189?window=all) Price · $0.03 · 0.04 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.52% · EV $0.02 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.85% · 2,751 openings, odds method Variance · 13.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 115.68% ±46.97 236 openings 7 days · 83.89% ±15.21 2,250 openings 30 days · 80.85% ±13.76 2,751 openings since tracking started · 80.85% ±13.76 2,751 openings 66.5% 115.0% 163.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189?window=24h) | 236 | 115.68% ±47.0 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189?window=7d) | 2,250 | 83.89% ±15.2 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189) | 2,751 | 80.85% ±13.8 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1189?window=all) | 2,751 | 80.85% ±13.8 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,751 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $3.32 5.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN | 25.4% | 6 | 11.0 | 0.55× | | [M249 \| Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) | 13.1% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 25.6% | 409 | 360.2 | 1.14× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 86.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 48.3% | 2,336 | 2379.6 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1189) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [Maltael](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Maltael) $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.75x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [Maltael](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Maltael) $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.50x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) [Maltael](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Maltael) $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.75x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.75x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 89.52% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #8847ff 0.0% restricted 0.4% #b0c3d9 13.1% Common 86.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.52 on average: an expected loss of $10.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt