--- title: "cheap coin battle case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "cheap coin battle ($0.03) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 80.25% from 6 items with odds, observed 88.75% over 3,595 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [cheap coin battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · cheap coin battle A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191?window=all) Price · $0.03 · 0.05 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 80.25% · EV $0.03 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.75% · 3,595 openings, odds method Variance · 14.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 57.96% ±56.73 167 openings 7 days · 82.32% ±13.48 2,956 openings 30 days · 88.75% ±12.23 3,595 openings since tracking started · 88.75% ±12.23 3,595 openings 0.5% 58.0% 115.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191?window=24h) | 167 | 57.96% ±56.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191?window=7d) | 2,956 | 82.32% ±13.5 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191) | 3,595 | 88.75% ±12.2 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1191?window=all) | 3,595 | 88.75% ±12.2 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,595 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $2.30 3.63 HUNT\_COIN | 22.6% | 14 | 9.0 | 1.56× | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 33 | 36.0 | 0.92× | | [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 19.9% | 339 | 359.5 | 0.94× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-verdant-growth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 288 | 305.6 | 0.94× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 80.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 39.9% | 2,913 | 2876.0 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1191) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [KINGGING](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/KINGGING) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-verdant-growth-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 09:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 80.25% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed violet 0.3% restricted 0.3% industrial 1.0% gray 10.0% Industrial Grade 8.5% Consumer Grade 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.25 on average: an expected loss of $19.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt