--- title: "90 in 5 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "90 in 5 ($3.66) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.46% from 16 items with odds, observed 88.39% over 616 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [90 in 5](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 90 in 5 A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120?window=all) Price · $3.66 · 5.76 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.46% · EV $3.16 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.39% · 616 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 90.18% ±20.01 475 openings 30 days · 88.39% ±17.58 616 openings since tracking started · 88.39% ±17.58 616 openings 19.5% 76.5% 133.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120?window=24h) | 60 | 76.36% ±56.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120?window=7d) | 475 | 90.18% ±20.0 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120) | 616 | 88.39% ±17.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/120?window=all) | 616 | 88.39% ±17.6 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 616 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $164 258 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $54.72 86.19 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $41.39 65.19 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $37.23 58.63 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $33.26 52.39 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.65× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 14 | 12.3 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $15.37 24.21 HUNT\_COIN | 14.6% | 20 | 18.5 | 1.08× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $14.50 22.84 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 19 | 18.5 | 1.03× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $11.82 18.61 HUNT\_COIN | 18.7% | 26 | 30.8 | 0.84× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN | 13.2% | 32 | 30.8 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Sure Grip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-sure-grip-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 100 | 92.4 | 1.08× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Re.built (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-re-built-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 69 | 92.4 | 0.75× | | [M249 \| Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 176 | 154.0 | 1.14× | | [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 152 | 154.0 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=120) [StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-sure-grip-field-tested) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN 5.20x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $11.82 18.61 HUNT\_COIN 3.23x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-sure-grip-field-tested) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-sure-grip-field-tested) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.76 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.66 | 86.46% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.3% epic 0.0% industrial 0.1% Legendary 0.1% covert 4.5% #8847FF 2.0% restricted 3.0% red 5.0% mil spec 5.0% #4b69ff 15.0% milspec 15.0% #b0c3d9 25.0% consumer 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.46 on average: an expected loss of $13.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt