--- title: "Diablo's Statistical Anomaly on Hunt.gg: odds & RTP" description: "Diablo's Statistical Anomaly ($90.11) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.89% over 2,976 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Diablo's Statistical Anomaly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Diablo's Statistical Anomaly A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230?window=all) Price · $90.11 · 142 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.89% · 2,976 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.27% ±30.59 2,766 openings 7 days · 80.89% ±30.27 2,976 openings 30 days · 80.89% ±30.27 2,976 openings since tracking started · 80.89% ±30.27 2,976 openings 48.0% 80.0% 112.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230?window=24h) | 2,766 | 79.27% ±30.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230?window=7d) | 2,976 | 80.89% ±30.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230) | 2,976 | 80.89% ±30.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1230?window=all) | 2,976 | 80.89% ±30.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-11 09:19 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $14.2K 22,288 HUNT\_COIN 157.0x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $2,708 4,266 HUNT\_COIN 30.05x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $2,708 4,266 HUNT\_COIN 30.05x 2026-11-11 11:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=1230) [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $90.11 142 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $14.2K (157.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.89 on average: an expected loss of $19.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt