---
title: "43 Gang case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "43 Gang ($26.50) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 16 items with odds, observed 79.21% over 170 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [43 Gang](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 43 Gang

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126?window=all)

Price · $26.50 · 41.73 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $22.91 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.21% · 170 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 16 openings · below min

7 days · 90 openings · below min

30 days · 79.21% ±25.64 170 openings

since tracking started · 79.21% ±25.64 170 openings

13.0% 97.2% 181.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126?window=24h) | 16 | 97.33% ±83.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126?window=7d) | 90 | 83.54% ±35.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126) | 170 | 79.21% ±25.6 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126?window=all) | 170 | 79.21% ±25.6 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 170 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $856 1,347 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $521 820 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $431 678 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $255 402 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $172 271 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $138 217 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $103 162 HUNT\_COIN | 6.7% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $76.11 120 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $60.97 96.03 HUNT\_COIN | 6.7% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $51.58 81.24 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 9 | 8.5 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN | 11.2% | 12 | 11.1 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $34.65 54.58 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 9 | 12.8 | 0.71× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 12.5% | $29.14 45.9 HUNT\_COIN | 15.9% | 27 | 21.3 | 1.27× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 20.0% | $4.39 6.92 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 33 | 34.0 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.50 2.37 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 29 | 34.0 | 0.85× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 37 | 34.0 | 1.09× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=126)

[AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $60.97 96.03 HUNT\_COIN 2.30x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $1.50 2.37 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $51.58 81.24 HUNT\_COIN 1.95x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $51.58 81.24 HUNT\_COIN 1.95x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $76.11 120 HUNT\_COIN 2.87x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $29.14 45.9 HUNT\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $1.50 2.37 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) Hidden $26.50 41.73 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $26.50 | 86.48% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 14.6% covert knife 1.1% gold 0.8% restricted 2.0% classified 35.0% red 6.5% mil spec 20.0% violet 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt