--- title: "AFK Until Buy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AFK Until Buy ($53.59) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 93.09% over 33 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [AFK Until Buy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · AFK Until Buy A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130?window=all) Price · $53.59 · 84.41 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $46.36 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.09% · 33 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 29 openings · below min 30 days · 33 openings · below min since tracking started · 33 openings · below min 42.0% 134.3% 226.5% **Small sample.** 33 openings and 4.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130?window=24h) | 12 | 142.55% ±83.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130?window=7d) | 29 | 101.46% ±53.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130) | 33 | 93.09% ±50.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/130?window=all) | 33 | 93.09% ±50.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $555 875 HUNT\_COIN | 18.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $247 389 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $101 158 HUNT\_COIN | 16.3% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $71.18 112 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 13.0% | $54.17 85.32 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 17.0% | $46.88 73.83 HUNT\_COIN | 17.2% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.53× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 20.0% | $5.63 8.87 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $4.12 6.49 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.21× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $555 875 HUNT\_COIN 10.36x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=130) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $5.63 8.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $5.63 8.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $54.17 85.32 HUNT\_COIN 1.01x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $4.12 6.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $71.18 112 HUNT\_COIN 1.33x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $4.12 6.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $5.63 8.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $5.63 8.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $101 158 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.59 84.41 HUNT\_COIN $101 158 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $53.59 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 25.5% classified 54.5% #d32ee6 20.0% best hit $555 (10.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt