---
title: "Barricade case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Barricade ($3.18) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.38% from 16 items with odds, observed 98.12% over 376 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Barricade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Barricade

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132?window=all)

Price · $3.18 · 5.01 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.38% · EV $2.75 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.12% · 376 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 101.52% ±14.32 307 openings

30 days · 98.12% ±12.94 376 openings

since tracking started · 98.12% ±12.94 376 openings

-0.5% 82.0% 164.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132?window=24h) | 6 | 61.18% ±102.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132?window=7d) | 307 | 101.52% ±14.3 | +2.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132) | 376 | 98.12% ±12.9 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132?window=all) | 376 | 98.12% ±12.9 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 376 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $25.49 40.15 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.60× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $22.43 35.33 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $10.83 17.06 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.42× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $8.48 13.35 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 10 | 7.5 | 1.33× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.75 12.21 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 6 | 7.5 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $6.53 10.29 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $5.65 8.9 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 10 | 11.3 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $5.28 8.32 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.86× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $5.14 8.1 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 22 | 16.0 | 1.38× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $4.50 7.09 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 33 | 18.8 | 1.76× |
| [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $4.17 6.57 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 19 | 22.6 | 0.84× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $2.48 3.91 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 31 | 28.2 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) | 15.0% | $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 52 | 56.4 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| Pushing Smokes (Glitter) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pushing-smokes-glitter) | 15.0% | $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN | 3.2% | 50 | 56.4 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Countdown sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-countdown) | 15.0% | $0.55 0.86 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 57 | 56.4 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Counter-Tech sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-tech) | 15.0% | $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 45 | 56.4 | 0.80× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=132)

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $5.28 8.32 HUNT\_COIN 1.66x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC

[Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC

[Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC

[Sticker | Counter-Tech sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-tech) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC

[Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC

[P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-minimal-wear) [Jakub Oplot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Jakub%20Oplot) $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $4.17 6.57 HUNT\_COIN 1.31x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC

[Sticker | Countdown sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-countdown) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.86 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-10 09:00 UTC

[Sticker | Pushing Smokes (Glitter) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pushing-smokes-glitter) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-10 09:00 UTC

[MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $2.48 3.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.78x 2026-11-10 09:00 UTC

[Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-10 09:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.18 | 86.38% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 12.0% mil spec 1.3% Mythical 20.0% restricted 4.0% violet 4.3% Rare 36.0% Ancient 7.5% #4b69ff 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.38 on average: an expected loss of $13.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt