--- title: "Blastoise case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blastoise ($25.40) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 8 items with odds, observed 94.36% over 220 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Blastoise](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Blastoise A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134?window=all) Price · $25.40 · 40.01 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $21.97 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.36% · 220 openings, odds method Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 64 openings · below min 7 days · 98.31% ±46.53 176 openings 30 days · 94.36% ±41.62 220 openings since tracking started · 94.36% ±41.62 220 openings -0.5% 72.5% 145.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134?window=24h) | 64 | 56.25% ±77.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134?window=7d) | 176 | 98.31% ±46.5 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134) | 220 | 94.36% ±41.6 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/134?window=all) | 220 | 94.36% ±41.6 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 220 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,229 1,936 HUNT\_COIN | 8.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,012 1,595 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $137 216 HUNT\_COIN | 15.6% | 2 | 5.5 | 0.36× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $96.51 152 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 13 | 7.7 | 1.69× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $76.04 120 HUNT\_COIN | 22.5% | 19 | 14.3 | 1.33× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 11.6% | $32.81 51.68 HUNT\_COIN | 17.3% | 23 | 25.4 | 0.91× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) | 75.0% | $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 161 | 165.0 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $1,229 1,936 HUNT\_COIN 48.38x 2026-11-07 12:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=134) [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $32.81 51.68 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $32.81 51.68 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $32.81 51.68 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $25.40 40.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.40 | 86.48% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.5% covert knife 2.5% restricted 6.5% Legendary 11.6% Mil Spec 75.0% best hit $1,229 (48.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt