---
title: "Bonecrusher case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bonecrusher ($35.91) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 80.78% over 214 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Bonecrusher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Bonecrusher

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137?window=all)

Price · $35.91 · 56.56 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $31.06 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.78% · 214 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 34 openings · below min

7 days · 88.13% ±37.55 141 openings

30 days · 80.78% ±30.48 214 openings

since tracking started · 80.78% ±30.48 214 openings

34.5% 111.8% 189.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137?window=24h) | 34 | 111.85% ±76.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137?window=7d) | 141 | 88.13% ±37.5 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137) | 214 | 80.78% ±30.5 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/137?window=all) | 214 | 80.78% ±30.5 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 214 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,670 2,630 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,160 1,827 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $437 689 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $392 618 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.70× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $329 518 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.40× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $195 307 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $153 242 HUNT\_COIN | 14.8% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $120 189 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.93× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $110 173 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $89.47 141 HUNT\_COIN | 14.4% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [Sticker \| Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) | 15.0% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 33 | 32.1 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) | 15.0% | $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 40 | 32.1 | 1.25× |
| [Sticker \| StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) | 25.0% | $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 54 | 53.5 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Poorly Drawn FBI sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-fbi) | 25.0% | $0.48 0.76 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 46 | 53.5 | 0.86× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=137)

[Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Sticker | Poorly Drawn FBI sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-fbi) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.48 0.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $110 173 HUNT\_COIN 3.05x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $35.91 56.56 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.91 | 86.49% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 10.8% gold 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% other 25.1% covert knife 6.0% #ffd700 3.0% High Grade 15.0% Rare 40.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt