--- title: "Boom case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Boom ($68.16) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 8 items with odds, observed 146.03% over 27 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Boom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Boom A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138?window=all) Price · $68.16 · 107 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $58.95 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 146.03% · 27 openings, odds method Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 21 openings · below min 30 days · 27 openings · below min since tracking started · 27 openings · below min 64.5% 166.3% 268.0% **Small sample.** 27 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138?window=7d) | 21 | 176.07% ±91.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138) | 27 | 146.03% ±80.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/138?window=all) | 27 | 146.03% ±80.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $646 1,017 HUNT\_COIN | 27.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $424 667 HUNT\_COIN | 53.9% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.98× | | [Sticker \| Flammable (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flammable-foil) | 12.5% | $82.72 130 HUNT\_COIN | 17.5% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× | | [Sticker \| Boom (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-foil) | 15.0% | $2.44 3.85 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Romanov's Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-romanovs-fire-foil) | 15.0% | $0.71 1.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Friendly Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-friendly-fire) | 15.0% | $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) | 15.0% | $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.23× | | [Sticker \| Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) | 17.5% | $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $646 1,017 HUNT\_COIN 9.48x 2026-11-06 12:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=138) [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $424 667 HUNT\_COIN 6.22x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC [Sticker | Friendly Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-friendly-fire) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:04 UTC [Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $424 667 HUNT\_COIN 6.22x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [Sticker | Friendly Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-friendly-fire) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [Sticker | Boom (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-foil) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $2.44 3.85 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-minimal-wear) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $424 667 HUNT\_COIN 6.22x 2026-11-07 03:03 UTC [Sticker | In The Fire (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-in-the-fire-foil) Hidden $68.16 107 HUNT\_COIN $0.46 0.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 12:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $68.16 | 86.49% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 2.5% extraordinary 7.5% exotic 42.5% #d32ce6 15.0% high 15.0% remarkable 17.5% best hit $646 (9.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt